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Low interest rate in India is coming at the cost of rupee exchange rate

There is high negative correlation between the India 10-year and US 10-year bond yield spread and rupee-dollar exchange rate

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Experts attribute this negative correlation to the spread impact on capital inflows

Krishna Kant Mumbai

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India’s low-interest-rate regime in recent years has come at the cost of the rupee.
 
As the interest-rate difference between bonds in the United States (US) and India has steadily narrowed in recent years, the rupee has depreciated against the dollar at a steady pace.
 
In the past one year, the spread between the yields on government bonds — India 10-year and US 10-year — is down 70 basis points from 2.61 percentage points at the  end of June last year to 1.91 percentage points on Tuesday.
 
In the same period, the rupee is down 3 per cent against the dollar