The rupee appreciated by 6 paise to 93.27 against the US dollar in early trade on Thursday, driven by retreating crude oil prices and a weakening American currency, amid hopes of a truce in West Asia. According to forex analysts, crude oil prices hovering below the USD 95-a-barrel level sent positive cues to investors in domestic equities, even though the outflow of foreign capital and demands for dollars from importers resisted a sharp recovery in the rupee. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 93.29 and gained further, trading at 93.27 against the greenback in early deals, up 6 paise from its previous closing level. On Wednesday, the rupee gained 2 paise to settle at 93.33 against the US dollar. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was lower by 0.12 per cent at 97.72. Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, was trading marginally up by 0.02 per cent at USD 94.95 per barrel in futures trade.
The rupee fell and bond yields rose as crude oil surged above $100, with US-Iran tensions fuelling inflation concerns and pressuring currency and debt markets
When the war broke out in late February 2026, the RBI, backed by foreign exchange reserves of nearly $730 billion, intervened aggressively
Following the central bank's measures, the rupee has recovered from near 95.20 per US dollar to near 92.50, before paring its rally on Monday
Here's how leading market analysts see the road ahead for Indian markets amid the recent developments.
The rupee depreciated 49 paise to 93.32 against the US dollar in early trade on Monday, weighed down by higher crude oil prices and a firm American currency amid a volatile geopolitical situation. Renewed tension in West Asia and uncertainties on the opening of the Strait of Hormuz following inconclusive Iran-US peace talks triggered a surge in crude oil prices, while investors rushed to withdraw funds from domestic equities, putting further pressure on the Indian currency, forex traders said. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 93.30 against the US dollar and lost further ground, trading at 93.32 against the greenback in early deals, down 49 paise from its previous closing level. On Friday, the rupee settled 32 paise lower at 92.83 against the US dollar. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was higher by 0.38 per cent at 98.81. Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, was trading higher by 7
The rupee appreciated 10 paise to 92.41 against the US dollar in early trade on Friday, even as the USD/INR pair faces risks from rising global tensions, especially the US-Iran conflict. Forex traders said the rupee is likely to see high volatility intra-day as the deadline for RBI's instructions to banks to curb their overnight positions to USD 100 million closes today. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 92.58 against the US dollar, then gained ground to touch 92.41 against the US dollar in initial trade, registering a gain of 10 paise over its previous close. On Thursday, the rupee settled with a marginal gain of 3 paise at 92.51 against the US dollar. "An estimated 8085 per cent of these positions have already been unwound, which means the bulk of this supportive flow is now behind us. In simple terms, the cushion that held the rupee steady is beginning to thin, and this is where the story starts to shift," CR Forex Advisors MD Amit Pabari said. Pabar
Rupee slips to 92.65 per dollar as oil prices jump on Middle East tensions, dragging equities and bonds while foreign outflows and weak sentiment add pressure
Rupee may stabilise at 92-93 against the dollar as foreign flows return, says EAC-PM Chairman, citing strong macroeconomic fundamentals and fiscal strength
The rupee appreciated 50 paise to 92.56 against the US dollar in early trade on Wednesday after US President Donald Trump announced suspension of military strikes against Iran for two weeks. Forex traders said the two-week ceasefire announcement triggered a wave of outsized bargain buying amongst the risk assets as Asian Stocks, Dow futures, Gold and Silver all rallied while Brent Oil fell below USD 100 to USD 96 per barrel. The rupee in accordance surged to 92.56 levels, with the RBI deadline still in place till the 10th of April (regarding squaring of positions taken overnight up to USD 100 million) while the RBI announces its monetary policy today at 10 am. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 92.92 against the US dollar, then gained ground to touch 92.56 against the US dollar in initial trade, registering a gain of 50 paise over its previous close. On Tuesday, the rupee had settled at 93.06 against the American currency. Attention now shifts to the RBI
The rupee is likely to open in the 92.40-92.50 range versus the US dollar, having settled at 93.0075 on Tuesday
Benchmark 10-year yield falls as crude prices ease on ceasefire reports; rupee gains on dollar sales but trims early rise amid importer demand and geopolitical caution
The rupee is likely to open in the 92.80-92.90 range versus the US dollar, having settled at 93.10 on Thursday
Rupee rises 1.8% in its biggest single-day gain in over 12 years as RBI curbs speculative forex trades, pushing hedging demand onshore and lifting forward premiums sharply
RBI crackdown on speculation triggers sharp rebound, echoing 2013 stabilisation playbook
CCIL said it would levy a volatility margin of 20 per cent of initial margin with immediate effect under its foreign exchange forward segment regulations
The Indian rupee opened 130 paise higher at 93.53 per dollar on April 2 after the RBI introduced fresh measures, including a ban on NDF trades, to curb forex speculation and stabilise the currency
Don't expect rapid, drastic reversal even if calm returns, say experts
The rupee eventually settled at 94.81 per dollar on the final trading day of the 2025-26 financial year, little changed from Friday's close
RBI does not defend a fixed rupee level but intervenes to contain excessive volatility, using tools like forex reserves, liquidity tightening and regulatory curbs to stabilise markets