With the geopolitical premium fading, analysts believe the next trend will hinge on three factors: the US dollar and bond yields, geopolitical developments, and demand dynamics
Don't expect rapid, drastic reversal even if calm returns, say experts
RBI's NOP cap may support the rupee via dollar unwinding, but rising crude oil prices and global risks could limit gains. USD-INR seen in 92.50-96 range.
The rupee tanked 86 paise to close at yet another all-time low of 94.82 (provisional) against the US dollar on Friday, weighed down by elevated oil prices and a stronger greenback amid uncertainties over the West Asia conflict. A sharp decline in the domestic equity markets and sustained FII outflows put further pressure on the local unit, according to forex traders. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 94.18 and breached the 94.50-mark for the first time before closing at 94.82 (provisional) against the US dollar, down 86 paise from its previous close. The rupee slumped 20 paise to close at a record low of 93.96 against the US dollar on Wednesday. Stock, forex, commodity, and bullion markets remained closed on Thursday on account of Ram Navami. The dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading 0.11 per cent higher at 100. Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, was trading at USD 109.8 per barrel, up 0.53 per
The rupee breached the 94.50-mark for the first time against the US dollar during intra-day trade on Friday and hit a record low of 94.56, weighed down by elevated oil prices and a stronger greenback amid no breakthrough in the West Asia conflict. A sharp decline in the domestic equity markets and sustained FII outflows put further pressure on the local unit, according to forex traders. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 94.18 and kept sliding to hit 94.56 against the US dollar during intra-day trade, down 60 paise from its previous close. The rupee slumped 20 paise to close at a record low of 93.96 against the US dollar on Wednesday. Stock, forex, commodity, and bullion markets remained closed on Thursday on account of Ram Navami. "With consistent buying from oil companies, the rupee breached 94.50 with exporters holding their inflows, while importers buy dollars for their payables," Anil Kumar Bhansali, Head of Treasury and Executive Director, Finrex Treasury
US President Donald Trump's signature is set to feature on US paper currency soon, a first for a sitting president since the introduction of dollar bills in 1861. The decision, taken by the US Treasury, coincides with the 250th anniversary celebrations of American Independence this year. "In celebration of America's 250th anniversary, President Donald J Trump's signature alongside (Treasury) Secretary Scott Bessent's will soon appear on US currency, marking a first in history, and symbolizes @POTUS' leadership and dedication to our great nation will carry a lasting impact," US Treasurer Brandon Beach said in a post on X. Earlier this month, a federal arts commission approved the final design for a 24-karat gold commemorative coin bearing Trump's image to help celebrate the 250th anniversary of American Independence. "Under President Trump's leadership, we are on a path toward unprecedented economic growth, lasting dollar dominance, and fiscal strength and stability," Bessent said i
Currency weakens to record closing low amid importer demand and NDF pressures, with central bank intervention helping prevent breach of the 94 per dollar mark
Rupee near record low despite RBI support as NDF-related dollar demand and outflows offset gains from easing oil prices and improved global risk sentiment
The likely intervention via state-run banks helped the currency hold above its record low of 93.98 per dollar to last quote at 93.96, down 0.1 per cent on the day
Spot gold rose 2.5 per cent to $4,587.09 per ounce as of 0218 GMT. US gold futures for April delivery gained 4.2 per cent to $4,586.10
The rupee strengthened after three days of losses on easing crude and dollar index, while bond yields hardened on higher-than-expected SDL auction cut-offs
The decline in the domestic currency, analysts said, reflects a combination of elevated crude prices, persistent foreign outflows, and a structurally strong US dollar
The rupee crashed 82 paise, or nearly 1 per cent, to settle at an all-time low of 93.71 (provisional) against the US dollar on Friday, weighed down by persistent foreign fund outflows and a steep rise in crude oil prices amid mounting geopolitical tensions. Forex traders said the Indian rupee is under tremendous pressure as surging crude oil prices and a shift toward risk-aversion dented investor sentiments. Moreover, heightened geopolitical uncertainty risks are driving energy costs higher, which could widen the trade deficit and stoke inflationary pressures, they added. At the interbank foreign exchange, the local unit opened at 92.92 against the greenback and soon breached the 93-mark for the first time. It kept losing ground through the session and eventually settled at 93.71 (provisional), down 82 paise from its previous close. On Wednesday, the rupee slumped 49 paise to close at its previous record low of 92.89 against the US dollar. Forex markets were closed on Thursday on
India's semiconductor market is projected to nearly triple to USD 120 billion by 2030 and reach USD 300 billion by 2035, driven by the adoption of AI, automotive growth, and data centre expansion, acc
Silver futures plunged by Rs 4,232 to Rs 2.55 lakh per kilogram in the futures trade on Monday, as weak domestic demand and a strong US dollar weighed on investors' sentiment. On the Multi Commodity Exchange, the white metal for the May delivery declined by Rs 4,232, or 1.63 per cent, to Rs 2,55,203 per kilogram in a business turnover of 5,787 lots. Analysts said silver prices remained under pressure as weak retail demand in the domestic market coincided with macroeconomic headwinds in global markets. Indian bullion dealers have extended discount offerings to unprecedented levels, reaching USD 83 per ounce over domestic official pricing -- inclusive of 6 per cent import and 3 per cent sales levy -- the highest discount observed since July 2016, compared to USD 28 in the previous week, Renisha Chainani, Head - Research at Augmont, said. The sharp increase in dealer discounts indicates a profound weakening in retail demand for precious metals, she said, adding that jewellers have ...
Third year of consecutive BoP deficit if oil stays above $100/bbl, to weigh on rupee
The rupee fell to an all-time low of 92.4250 to the US dollar on Friday and it has lost about 1.5 per cent since the war broke out on February 28
The dollar was up 0.8 per cent to $1.1525 on the euro, its highest since November, and rose almost 0.4 per cent to 158.48 yen early in the Asia session
Spot gold was up 0.5 per cent at $5,166.3 per ounce as of 1800 ist, while US gold futures for April delivery were up 0.7 per cent at $5,168.20
A sell-off for stocks is slamming Wall Street after careening from Europe and Asia, and oil prices are leaping even higher as rise that the war with Iran is widening and may do more sustained damage to the economy than feared. The S&P 500 dropped 1.6% in early trading on Tuesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average sank 880 points, or 1.8%, and the Nasdaq composite lost 1.8%. Crude oil prices jumped more than 8% as Iran struck the US Embassy in Saudi Arabia, part of a widening of targets that's also including areas critical to the world's oil and natural gas production. Treasury yields rose.