The Budget lays the foundation for the beginning of a journey towards a sustained growth of 7-8 per cent. Our own research team expects growth to recover to 7.5 per cent levels in by 2018. There could be pressures on tax collection targets, in case of drought or on divestment targets, in case of tapering. The finance minister has kept the option of drawing down the government's surplus at RBI, if needed. The appointment of the Expenditure Management Commission would help the government to streamline its spending. Initiatives to step up the corporate bond market by extending withholding tax cut to all bonds and relaxation of SLR for banks to finance new infrastructure lending should help raise money to fund capex.
India head,
Bank of America-Merrill Lynch
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