Standard Chartered halves RBI rate cut forecast

Image
Reuters Mumbai
Last Updated : Jan 20 2013 | 3:11 AM IST

Standard Chartered said it expects the Reserve Bank of India to cut interest rates by 75 basis points in fiscal 2012-13, lower than its prior forecast of 150 basis points, citing higher crude oil prices and an excise duty hike.

"We expect WPI inflation to average 7.5% in the second half of 2012-13, much higher than 6.9% in the first half of the fiscal," it said in a note on Tuesday.

The wholesale price index is India's main gauge of inflation.

"This should cause the central bank to pause its easing cycle from September 2012 onwards as inflation moves above its comfort zone again," the note said.

The RBI's key repo rate stands at 8.50% at present.

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Mar 20 2012 | 10:30 AM IST

Next Story