<< Indian market witnessed a strong recovery after a brutal fall thanks to some positive news flows on the Russia-Ukraine standoff that led rally in global equity markets and cool off in commodity prices.
<< The outcome of state election results is also acting as a tailwind for the Indian equity market, however, it has the impact of only one day and the main focus of the market will remain on the Russia-Ukraine issue because there are still uncertainties.
<< US inflation numbers will be announced today, which is likely to come at a five-decade high, and it will act as a critical factor in the upcoming US Fed meeting. Markets are likely to remain volatile till the Fed meeting.
<< Technically, Nifty witnessed a smart pullback from the 15,700 level, however, 16,800-17,000 is a critical supply area that Nifty has to take out for any trend reversal otherwise there is a risk of sell-off after this pullback.
<< On the downside, 16,500-16,400 is an immediate support zone while 16,000/15,500 is the next critical support level. If Nifty manages to take out the 17,000 level then bulls will be back in the game where 17,300/17,500 are the next resistance levels.
<< Short-term traders should watch market behavior in the 16,800-17,000 zone then trade accordingly while long-term investors should continue to accumulate good quality stocks.
<< Our top preferred sectors are capital goods, infrastructure, real estate, and financials, however, rising commodity prices are a major challenge in the near term.
<< IT stocks may continue to do well after a recent correction while some private banks like HDFC Bank, Kotak Bank, and ICICI Bank are looking attractive after a recent fall.
Views by Santosh Meena, Head of Research, Swastika Investmart