The projected result of 316 seats would beat centre-left Labour on 239 seats, upsetting analyst predictions of a neck- and-neck contest between Cameron and Labour challenger Ed Miliband.
It would give the Conservatives and their junior coalition partner, the Liberal Democrats, who are predicted to win 10 seats, a razor-thin majority in the 650-seat House of Commons.
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The UK Independence Party, which has campaigned for Britain to leave the European Union and against mass immigration, was predicted to win just two seats.
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