Testifying before a Senate Committee, the CIA Director John Brennan told lawmakers that despite all of the progress against IS on the battlefield and in the financial realm, the American efforts have not reduced the group's ability to launch terror attacks outside of its base in Iraq and Syria.
The resources needed for terrorism are very modest and the group would have to suffer even heavier losses on territory, man-power and money for its terrorist capacity to decline significantly, Brennan said.
Since 2014, IS has been working to build an apparatus to direct and inspire attacks against its foreign enemies, resulting in hundreds of casualties.
The most prominent examples are the attacks in Paris and Brussels, which were directed by IS leadership, he added.
"We judge that IS is training and attempting to deploy operatives for further attacks. IS has large cadre of western fighters who could potentially serve as operatives for attacks in the west.
"And the group is probably exploring a variety of means for infiltrating operatives into the west, including in refugee flows, smuggling routes and legitimate methods of travel," Brennan warned.
Brennan told Senators that IS is gradually cultivating its global network of branches into a more interconnected global organisation.
The branch in Libya is probably the most developed and the most dangerous.
(Reopens FGN 25)
Meanwhile, IS's Sinai branch in Egypt has established itself as the most active and capable terrorist group in all of Egypt.
The Yemen branch, for instance, has been riven with factionalism, and the Afghanistan-Pakistan branch has struggled to maintain its cohesion in part because of competition with the Taliban, he said.
Brennan said on the propaganda front, the US-led international coalition is working to counter IS's expansive propaganda machine.
IS paints a crafted image to the outside world, lauding its own military efforts, portraying its so-called caliphate as a thriving state, and alleging that the group is expanding globally, even as it faces setbacks locally, he said.
IS, he noted, releases a multitude of media products on a variety of platforms, including social media, mobile applications, radio and hard copy mediums.
"In sum, IS remains a formidable adversary, but the United States and our global partners have succeeded in putting the group on the defensive, forcing it to devote more time and energy to try to hold territory and to protect its vital infrastructure inside of Syria and Iraq," he said.
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