Brent Crude Oil

While the global setup has turned positive, analysts suggest investors remain watchful of profit booking at higher levels after the recent volatility.

As per Fitch Ratings' estimates, Brent crude oil is likely to average $100-110/bbl in May-July, before falling to $80/bbl in August, and to about $70/bbl from September.

For now, the oil market remains at a crossroads-pulled in opposite directions by forces that are both powerful and persistent, with no clear resolution in sight

The near-term outlook for Brent crude through Q3 2026 is likely to remain range-bound in the $90-115/bbl band, with risks skewed slightly towards a higher floor price for crude oil

Emkay Global has raised FY27 Brent crude oil price forecast to $90 per barrel citing West Asia tensions and inventory depletion. It has cut India's GDP growth outlook to 6.3 per cent

Even a successful reopening may not bring oil prices down sharply, as the scale of disruption and the time required for markets to rebalance will keep oil elevated in the range of $80-95 range.

Sensex Today | Stock Market Highlights, Wednesday: In the broader markets, the Nifty MidCap and the Nifty SmallCap ended 0.42 per cent and 0.11 per cent down, respectively

While both contracts fell during the overnight session on hopes of a peace deal, the US strikes in southern Iran and Israeli attacks on Hezbollah have boosted Brent prices

The Sensex ended at 76,489, up 1,074 points or 1.4 per cent, while the Nifty closed at 24,032, gaining 312 points or 1.3 per cent

Trump said there was a "very good chance" the US could reach an agreement with Iran to prevent Tehran from obtaining a nuclear weapon

Sensex Today | Stock Market Highlights, Monday: In the broader markets, the Nifty MidCap and the Nifty SmallCap ended 0.15 per cent and 1.26 per cent down, respectively

The global oil market is increasingly reflecting second-order effects of the US-Iran conflict, now in its 73rd day, following Iran's effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz on February 28

Sensex Today | Stock Market LIVE Updates Wednesday: The GIFT Nifty was indicating a slight positive open for the Nifty50 amid mixed global cues. Most Asian markets declined in early trade

ICICI Securities said that AI-led disruption in IT services and inflationary pressures from the West Asia war have emerged as key risks for India Inc during Q4FY26 results season

Stock market crash today: Sensex drops 750 pts, Nifty falls below 24,000 intraday as renewed US-Iran tensions, crude oil above $110, weak rupee, and FII selling drag markets on May 5

Equities close in the red but post best monthly gains since Dec 2023

The closure of Strait of Hormuz (SoH), analysts said, is the primary reason for this as oil supplies from this region remain curtailed.

Brent near $114 signals tight supply as inventories plunge. Backwardation, outages, and demand risks amid Iran war may reset crude's floor to $75-80, says Anindya Banerjee of Kotak Securities

Prolonged Strait of Hormuz disruption may keep oil prices higher for longer, says Mohammed Imran of Mirae Asset Sharekhan. He forecasts Brent at $90 in Q4-CY26; risks skew to $120 on supply shock

The crude oil market remains on a knife-edge. Brent's surge above $105 reflects genuine supply risks from Hormuz disruptions.