Economy wrap April 13-19: Rising fuel-led inflation, job market stress and West Asia risks cloud near-term outlook even as government attempts to sustain growth momentum
India's retail inflation rose to 3.4% in March, driven by higher food and fuel prices, with economists warning of further upside risks amid global uncertainties
Economists support retaining the 4% inflation target, citing CPI alignment and the flexibility it offers RBI to manage supply shocks while sustaining growth
India's new CPI series modernises inflation measurement, reshapes RBI policy signals, and underscores the need for more market-friendly data release timings
India's new CPI series reflects changing consumption patterns, digital services and better data, marking a major step forward in measuring inflation accurately
January will be the first month of a new data series based on 2024 prices and will mark the first time since August that inflation returns to the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) 2% - 6% target band
The RBI's MPC held rates steady, citing improved growth and benign inflation, while announcing regulatory steps to boost credit flow and strengthen digital payment safety
The RBI's MPC unanimously kept the repo rate unchanged at 5.25 per cent, retaining a neutral stance while signalling that future policy decisions will be guided by data from new GDP and CPI series
From shopping baskets to growth calculations, India is updating the base years for CPI inflation and GDP to reflect today's economy, a recalibration that will change headline numbers without altering
India's new CPI series, with lower food weight and higher core components, may nudge headline inflation higher but is expected to improve policy predictability and ease RBI's targeting
India will sharply reduce the food and beverages weight in the CPI basket as part of a 2024 base-year revamp, aiming to better capture evolving consumption patterns
December 2025 CPI-based inflation: The increase in headline inflation is mainly attributed to an increase in the prices of items across personal care, vegetables, meat and fish, egg, and pulses