Covid-19 pandemic in India may be over by mid-September, claims analysis

The mathematical analysis has been published in an online journal by two public health experts from the health ministry

The Covid-19 pandemic may be over in India around mid-September, claim two public health experts from the health ministry who used mathematical model-based analysis to draw this projection.

The analysis shows that when the number of infected becomes equal to those removed from circulation by recovery and death, the coefficient will reach the 100 per cent threshold and the epidemic will be "extinguished".

The analysis, published in the online journal Epidemiology International, has been done by Dr. Anil Kumar, Deputy Director General (Public Health) in the DGHS, and Rupali Roy, Deputy Assistant Director (Leprosy) DGHS in the health ministry.

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