Oil steadies after Trump says Venezuela to export crude to the US

Oil prices steadied on Wednesday as investors digested statements from President Donald Trump that the United States had reached a deal to import up to $2 billion worth of Venezuelan crude, ‍a move that would increase supplies to the ​world's largest oil consumer.

Brent crude futures gained 11 cents to $60.81 a barrel by 1259 GMT, after earlier in the session falling to $59.88 a barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude fell 7 cents to $57.06 a barrel, after dropping to as low as $55.76.

Both benchmarks declined over $1 during the previous trading session, as market participants expected ample global supply this year.

 

The deal between Washington and Caracas could initially require cargoes that were bound for China to be rerouted, sources told Reuters. ​Venezuela has millions of barrels of oil loaded on tankers and in storage tanks that it has been unable to ship since mid-December due to a blockade on exports imposed by Trump.

The blockade was part of a US pressure campaign against Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro's government that culminated in US forces capturing him over the weekend. Top Venezuelan officials have called Maduro's capture a kidnapping and accused the US of trying to steal the country's vast oil reserves.

Venezuela will be "turning over" between 30 million and 50 million barrels of "sanctioned oil" to the US, Trump wrote in a social media post on Tuesday.

While the news initially drove oil futures down, prices pared losses throughout Wednesday.

"The volumes are quite small in a larger context," SEB commodities analyst Ole Hvalbye said. "If you look at the US SPR in total, that's now 413 million barrels. So comparing that to 30 or 50 million barrels, the volumes are not so substantial."

Adding ??to geopolitical risk, the United States was attempting to seize a Venezuela-linked oil tanker after a more than two-week-long pursuit across the Atlantic, two US ‌officials told Reuters on Wednesday. The seizure, which could ​stoke tensions with Russia, came after the tanker, originally known as the Bella-1, slipped through a US maritime "blockade" of sanctioned tankers and rebuffed US Coast Guard efforts to board it.

Morgan Stanley analysts estimated the oil market ??could reach a surplus of as many as 3 million barrels per day in the first half of 2026, based ??on weak growth ‍in demand last year and rising supply from OPEC and non-OPEC producers.

However, the prospect of higher, cheaply extracted Venezuelan oil exports could pause expansion of productive capacity in the US and elsewhere, analysts at BMI, a unit ‍of ‌Fitch Solutions, said ​in a note on Wednesday.

Venezuela has been selling its flagship crude grade, Merey, at ‍around $22 per barrel below Brent for delivery at its ports.

"That raises the expected price of oil over the medium ‍term, ‍especially if the Venezuelan regime ‌survives," the BMI analysts said.

(Reporting by Stephanie Kelly, Sam Li, Florence Tan and Sudarshan Varadhan; Editing by Kirsten Donovan, Joe Bavier and Nick Zieminski)