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Export growth still depends on demand in Europe, North America

The government is pinning its hopes on increased investment that its Production Linked Incentives (PLI) scheme may attract

imports, exports, trade, foreign trade
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Photo: Bloomberg

TNC Rajagopalan

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The trade data for May released by the Commerce Ministry last week shows a year-on-year (YoY) decline of 10.31 per cent for merchandise exports and 6.59 per cent for merchandise imports leading to a five-month-high trade deficit of $22.22 billion. In all probability, it is the fall in commodity prices that has led to these declines and not necessarily the volumes. Indeed, the widening trade deficit suggests a relative pick up in the domestic economy, where the growth indicators are encouraging and prices are moderating, as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) pointed out in its recent bi-monthly monetary policy
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