Shrugging off past disruptions, the Indian retail industry is gearing up for 2026 with a solid foundation and is expected to see better margins, driven by a shift in demand from major metros to Tier II and III cities, all while maintaining its position as the world's third-largest retail market. The Indian retail industry, valued at approximately USD 1.1 trillion, is marked by rapid digital integration, expansion into smaller towns, and significant mall development, driven by strong domestic demand, tech-led disruption, and rising consumer expectations for quality and value. With policy interventions such as GST reforms and income tax relief, coupled with a good monsoon and higher Minimum Support Prices (MSP), the industry anticipates a silver lining in consumer demand. Moreover, the rise of the value retail boom and premiumisation, is expected to usher in a year of accelerated growth. However, the industry faces challenges such as growing rentals, fierce competition across digital
Consumer companies say that demand has already started to see some positive impact
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Consumer durables firms expect GST cut on air conditioners and large TV panels from 28% to 18% to lower prices, spur festive demand and improve sales in a price-sensitive market
India's FMCG market grew 13.9% in April-June, driven by rural demand, smaller packs, and e-commerce gains in metros, even as urban recovery narrowed the rural-urban gap
Prozo, which provides warehousing and fulfilment services, expects shipment to rise by 50 per cent compared to last year
Backed by Gaja Capital, Eggoz aims to expand its footprint, build supply chain tech, and compete in India's $12 bn egg market with traceable, hygienic products
Demand for fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) in rural India stood at 8.4 per cent in the March quarter, compared to 9.2 per cent in October-December of 2024
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Effects of single-digit salary growth for 3 qtrs on consumer spending are now palpable
While rural demand has shown an uptick, rising food inflation and a slowdown in credit growth pose challenges, potentially dampening the country's growth in the second quarter of 2024-25
On the PGHH call, Mrinalini Srinivasan, CFO, said that positive trends are finally emerging in the Indian fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) industry, both in urban and rural areas
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CEOs expect govt capex of Rs 11.11 trillion to boost demand
Increasing trends of premiumisation and volume growth may also expand operating margins by 50-75 basis points, despite higher marketing expenses and competition