According to the report by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA), "The 4,000 MW coal-fired Cheyyur UMPP is likely to be a non-starter at best or a financial disaster for consumers, TANGEDCO and the state government if it actually gets built."
It assessed that tariff rates and risks associated with the project after the Government of India proposed revised bidding guidelines to make the project more attractive in response to the withdrawal of prospective bidders who say the project was too risky.
In the unlikely event of the project being awarded by end 2016, the report estimates that electricity from the power plant will have a levelised cost of Rs 5.93 per unit - far higher than average cost of coal-based electricity. That is bad news for electricity consumers and tax-payers in Tamil Nadu, it said.
"Seen together with Tamil Nadu's indebtedness, TANGEDCO's hopeless financial situation and the political culture of extending freebies and heavily subsidised electricity, Cheyyur project's expensive electricity will worsen the state's financial situation," said S Gandhi, former Tamil Nadu Electricity Board engineer and president of Power Engineers' Society.
The guidelines also guaranteed that acquisition of "critical" land will be completed by the time of the bidding. However, there is little clarity on what is critical land and what is not critical.
In Cheyyur, land acquisition for the coal conveyor corridor, road and rail access and the ash pipeline have not even commenced, it said.
The potential land-losers, however, have indicated that they will not part with their farms. Regardless of whether or not these lands are seen as critical, the project cannot take off without roads or a means to bring coal from the port to the power plant, it added.
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