Current Account Deficit

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India's current account deficit is set to widen to 2.3 per cent of GDP in FY27 from 0.9 per cent in FY26, a foreign brokerage said on Monday. The balance of payments (BoP) deficit is estimated to widen to USD 65 billion in the current fiscal from the last fiscal year's USD 35 billion, it said. HSBC said it has assumed crude prices to average USD 95 a barrel, and combined it with sensitivities in oil, gold, core goods, services trade and remittances to arrive at a current account deficit of 2.3 per cent of GDP in FY27 as against 0.9 per cent in FY26. The BoP forecast has been made after growing through trends in portfolio inflows, FDI flows, and external commercial borrowing (ECBs), it said. The report also looked at forex reserves and opined that the nearly USD 700 billion kitty seems sufficient from the traditional perspective, but suggested the need to look at it from a dynamic perspective, better for the current times of heightened risks amid recurring global shocks. "Using a .

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There are moments (like the present) when current account deficits are widening in response to shocks, but our system has a well-developed playbook for dealing with these

India's current account deficit widened to $13.2 billion in Q3FY26 as the trade gap expanded, though higher services receipts, lower investment outflows and stronger remittances provided some support

But when capital flows are volatile, as has happened this financial year, even financing a low CAD can become challenging and put pressure on the currency

India's CAD narrowed to $2.4 billion in Q1FY26 from $8.6 billion a year ago as remittances surged 18% and services exports rose, offsetting a wider merchandise trade deficit

The current account deficit stood at $2.4 bn, or 0.2% of GDP, in the first quarter of the fiscal year 2025-26, compared with a surplus of $13.5 bn, or 1.3% of GDP, in preceding quarter, data showed

The spectre of higher tariffs imposed by the US means export prospects, including for India, will be subdued in 2025

India's current account balance recorded a surplus of USD 13.5 billion (1.3 per cent of GDP) in January-March quarter of 2024-25 as compared with USD 4.6 billion (0.5 per cent of GDP) in the year-ago period, RBI said on Friday. The current account was in deficit of USD 11.3 billion (1.1 per cent of GDP) in December quarter of 2024-25. On annual basis, India had a current account deficit at USD 23.3 billion (0.6 per cent of GDP) during 2024-25, lower than USD 26 billion (0.7 per cent of GDP) during 2023-24, primarily due to higher net invisibles receipts. Merchandise trade deficit at USD 59.5 billion in Q4:2024-25 was higher than USD 52 billion in Q4:2023-24, according to Reserve Bank's 'Developments in India's Balance of Payments during the Fourth Quarter (January-March) of 2024-25. However, it moderated from USD 79.3 billion in Q3:2024-25. Net services receipts increased to USD 53.3 billion in Q4:2024-25 from USD 42.7 billion a year ago. Services exports have risen on a y-o-y ba

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Pakistan's central bank on Thursday said that the country's current account posted a record surplus of USD 1.2 billion in March 2025, showing economic stability. Data released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) showed that the surplus on a year-on-year basis surged 230 per cent from USD 363 million recorded in March 2024. The Express Tribune newspaper reported that according to brokerage firms Topline Securities and Arif Habib Limited, March 2025 marked the highest-ever monthly current account surplus in the country's history. The robust performance brought the cumulative current account surplus to USD 1.86 billion during the first nine months of FY202425, a sharp turnaround from a USD 1.65 billion deficit in the same period of the previous fiscal year. With oil prices down and remittances hitting record levels, Pakistan's current account is expected to remain in surplus through June FY25, and possibly into FY26, supporting overall investor confidence, said Khurram Schehzad, Advis

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The current account deficit stood at $11.2 bn, or 1.2 per cent of GDP in the reporting quarter, compared with a revised deficit of $11.3 bn or 1.3 per cent of GDP in the same quarter a year ago