Page 2 - Current Account Deficit

Financialisation of household savings can fund private capex: Goldman Sachs

The report titled 'Changing Contours of Indian Household Savings' notes that within financial savings, allocations are shifting from banks to non-banks, especially into retirement savings

The 'stable' run for the rupee to continue

Reserve Bank of India will have to continue to monitor the movements and be nimble to spot volatility in both directions and intervene selectively to reduce excess noise

India's current account deficit narrowed to 1.2% of GDP in Q3: RBI data

Services exports grew due to rising software exports, business and travel services

Highlights: Congress releases 7th list of five candidates for LS polls

Latest news updates: Catch all the news updates from around the world here

India's current account deficit narrows to $10.5 bn in Oct-Dec: RBI

India's current account deficit declined to USD 10.5 billion or 1.2 per cent of the GDP in October-December quarter from USD 11.4 billion in the previous three months and USD 16.8 billion a year back, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said on Tuesday. Net FDI inflow at USD 8.5 billion during April-December 2023 was lower than USD 21.6 billion during April-December 2022, it said. Also, accretion of foreign exchange reserves (on a BoP basis) was at USD 6.0 billion in October-December (third quarter of current financial year that ends on March 31) compared to an accretion of USD 11.1 billion a year ago. The merchandise trade deficit at USD 71.6 billion was marginally higher than USD 71.3 billion during the third quarter of 2022-23. Services exports grew by 5.2 per cent on a year-on-year basis on the back of rising exports of software, business and travel services. Net services receipts increased both sequentially and from a year ago that helped cushion the current account deficit. In t

India's current account deficit likely to narrow below 1% in FY24

CAD implies the country is importing more goods and services in value than exports

Services trade surplus hits record $44.9 billion in December quarter

Grew 16% over a year earlier; current account deficit likely to reduce

Goldman Sachs sees current account deficit falling to 1% of GDP this fiscal

Stating that the country's external balances are stronger than expected on the back of strong inflows, a Wall Street brokerage on Tuesday projected a much lower current account deficit which is likely to print at 1 per cent for this fiscal, leaving the balance of payment surplus at USD 39 billion. Goldman Sachs in a report said the country's external balances remain favourable with a combination of low CAD, strong capital flows, adequate forex reserves and low external debt. Combined with this, expectations for a weaker dollar due to the likely five US Fed rate cuts this year suggest a "goldilocks" environment for the country's external balances. Accordingly, the Wall Street major has revised upwards its current account deficit (CAD) forecast to 1 per cent of GDP for FY24 from 1.3 per cent earlier, and 1.3 per cent for FY25 from 1.9 per cent earlier, citing a downward revision to their oil price forecast to USD81/barrel in 2024 from above USD90 earlier; and services exports continui

Current account gap narrows to 1% of GDP at $8.3 bn in Q2FY24: RBI

The lower CAD in Q2FY24 was due to the narrowing of the merchandise trade deficit to $61.0 billion from $78.3 billion in Q2FY23

Structural shift

Fiscal conditions in the US will affect capital flows

Current account deficit widens to 1.1% of GDP in June qtr at $9.2 bn

RBI says widening due to higher trade deficit, lower surplus in net services and decline in private transfer receipts

Current account deficit widens to 1.1% of GDP during Q1FY24: RBI

The deficit was $17.9 billion, or 2.1% of GDP, in the first quarter a year ago, the Reserve Bank of India's release showed

India's current account deficit seen falling to $10 bn in Q1: India Ratings

With falling trade deficit, India's current account deficit is likely to narrow to around USD 10 billion or 1 per cent of GDP in the April-June quarter of the ongoing fiscal, according to India Ratings. The country's current account deficit (CAD) stood at USD 18 billion or 2.1 per cent in the corresponding period of the previous fiscal. However, the agency expects CAD to rise in the second quarter of the current fiscal as it sees merchandise exports declining below USD 100 billion after a gap of eight quarters. Imports are expected to be around USD 163 billion during the period, up from a seven-quarter low of USD 160.3 billion witnessed in Q1 FY24, due to increase in crude prices since July. This will have the overall trade deficit printing in at a three-quarter high of USD 64 billion, the rating agency said. Another reason is the moderation in services demand since June due to the slowdown in the global economy. Global services PMI stood at a five-month low of 52.7 in July. Thus,

India not alone in exhibiting improving current account balance numbers

India had seen an improvement in its current account balance in the March 2023 quarter

India's Jan-March current account deficit narrows as trade gap shrinks: RBI

Net services receipts increased, sequentially and on a year-on-year (y-o-y) basis, on the back of a rise in net earnings from computer services, the RBI said

CAD may narrow to below 2% of GDP in FY24: CEA V Anantha Nageswaran

India 'well covered', equipped to tackle El Niño impact: CEA

Current account deficit to narrow to $53 billion in FY24: Acuite Ratings

Credit rating agency Acuite Ratings & Research said it expects India's current account deficit to narrow to $53 billion in FY24.

India's vulnerability to global shocks to reduce in FY24: CRISIL

Domestic banking insulated from global financial turmoil and better positioned to tackle rising interest rates

Japan books $16.6 bn current account surplus for 2nd consecutive month

Japan logged a current account surplus of $16.6 billion in February, the Finance Ministry said in a report on Monday

Current account deficit to remain moderate, eminently manageable: RBI Guv

Reserve Bank Governor Shaktikanta Das on Thursday excuded confidence that India's current account deficit (CAD), a key external sector indicator, is likely to remain moderate in the January-March quarter of 2022-23 and also eminently manageable going forward. The CAD for the first three quarters of 2022-23 stood at 2.7 per cent of GDP. In the October-December quarter, CAD narrowed significantly to 2.2 per cent from 3.7 per cent in the preceding three months on account of lower merchandise trade deficit and robust growth in services exports. "Overall, our external sector indicators have improved significantly. Foreign exchange reserves have rebounded from USD 524.5 billion on October 21, 2022 and now stand in excess of USD 600 billion taking into account our forward assets," Das said while unveiling the bi-monthly monetary policy. Das said India's services exports continued to grow at a healthy pace in the first two months of 2023. Better growth prospects of the gulf cooperation ..