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Net runrate equation: Why India need to chase to improve semi-final chances

How is net run rate calculated and how can India improve it? Find out everything you need to know about net run rate calculation in cricket.

Suryakumar Yadav's men need to improve their net run rate, here's why

Suryakumar Yadav's men need to improve their net run rate. Check out net run rate calculation here

Anish KumarAditya Kaushik New Delhi

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India have their task cut out when they take the field against Zimbabwe on February 26 at the MA Chidambaram Stadium in Chennai. The first objective for Suryakumar Yadav’s men will be to secure a win, but they will also need to improve their net run rate (NRR) to boost their semi-final qualification chances. To improve their net run rate, India should chase down a target. The reason is explained later in the story.
 
India’s net run rate took a major hit after losing their opening Super 8 game against South Africa by 76 runs. India’s current net run rate is -3.80, which is the third lowest in the group behind West Indies (+5.350) and South Africa (+3.80).
 
 
How is the net run rate calculated in cricket?
 
  The net run rate is a commonly used feature in cricket tournaments, which comes into consideration as a tie-breaker among teams tied on points, to confirm their final position on the points table.
 
The net run rate is based on a team’s performance with both bat and ball. But how exactly is the net run rate calculated? Let’s find out with a step-wise process.
 
NRR Calculation Formula:  NRR = (Total runs scored ÷ Total overs faced) − (Total runs conceded ÷ Total overs bowled)
 
Let’s say we want to calculate the net run rate of India. Then the calculation will be as follows.
 
  Step 1: Net Run Rate Calculation: Divide the total runs scored by the Indian team by the total number of overs they batted, this will provide us run rate of Team India.
 
Step 2: Opponent Net Run Rate Calculation: Divide the total runs conceded (Scored by opposition) by Team India by the total overs bowled.
 
Step 3: Subtract India’s run rate − Opponent run rate = Net Run Rate.
 
Example: If in the India and Zimbabwe game, Zimbabwe batted first and scored 100 runs in 20 overs and India chased the total by scoring 101 runs in 10 overs. The new net run rate for India will be (212 ÷ 30 overs) - (277 ÷ 40)= 0.14. 
 
Exception Rule: When a team gets all-out 
 
If a team gets all out before completing its overs, the full quota of overs is counted. For example, in the India vs South Africa match in the T20 World Cup 2026, India scored 111 runs in 18.5 overs in reply to South Africa’s 187 in 20 overs. If the rule of exception was not applied, India’s net run rate would have been (111 ÷ 18.5) - (187 ÷ 20) = -3.35.
 
However, since India were all out, their full 20 overs will be counted and the new calculation would be (111 ÷ 20) - (187 ÷ 20) = -3.8 (India’s net run rate before Zimbabwe's match).
 
Why is the net run rate important for India?
 
  For India, the net run rate has become important after their big loss against South Africa in the Super 8 round as explained above. India can now reach a maximum of four points if they beat Zimbabwe and West Indies.
 
However, if West Indies beat South Africa on Thursday, and India win both their remaining games, India and West Indies will both finish on four points from three matches and the decision on who will qualify for the semifinals will be decided on the basis of net run rate.
 
In Group 2, Pakistan are going through a similar situation as they are currently number three with one point. But if England beat New Zealand on Friday and Pakistan win their last match against Sri Lanka, both Pakistan and New Zealand will finish with three points and the team with the better net run rate will qualify for the semifinals.
 
How can India improve their net run rate against Zimbabwe?
 
  Now, with all the above permutations and combinations in mind, let’s take a look at how India can improve their net run rate during today's match.
 
If India bat first: Highly improbable condition to improve the net run rate
 
  For India to take the net run rate above South Africa and West Indies, batting first will be very tricky. India need to put 300 runs on the board and then bundle Zimbabwe out for 70 to get above South Africa’s net run rate, while they have to score 350 runs and bowl Zimbabwe out for 60 to get over both South Africa and West Indies’ net run rate. These are highly improbable situations in game of cricket.
 
Thus, to improve their net run rate, India have to chase down the target, this allows them to overhaul the chase in prescribed overs as explained below.
 
If India bowl first:
 
  Bowling first will present India with a comparatively easier scenario to improve their net run rate than that of South Africa and West Indies.
 
Scenario for India to top South Africa's net run rate
 
  These are the target scenarios and the overs in which India would have to chase them down in order to get a superior net run rate than South Africa:
 
Net run rate equation: Overs India must take to boost NRR
Expected Target Overs needed to improve net run rate
100 runs 7.5 overs
150 runs 11 overs
175 runs 12 overs
200 runs 13.4 overs
 
Scenario for India to surpass West Indies’ net run rate
Expected Target for India Overs required to go past WI’s NRR
100 runs 6 overs
150 runs 8.1 overs
175 runs 9.3 overs
200 runs 11 overs
 

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First Published: Feb 26 2026 | 4:34 PM IST

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