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Pause now, lower later: Rate cuts may start this year, say economists

RBI projection on GDP growth optimistic, say analysts

reserve bank of india, rbi
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“We believe the RBI’s GDP growth projection of 6.5 per cent YoY in FY24 is too optimistic, and we expect more than 1 percentage point downside,” Nomura said in a note

Manojit Saha Mumbai

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‘Higher for longer’ may be the narrative in the developed markets, but interest rates might not stay high for very long in India, with a section of the market expecting rate cuts to begin this year.

The six-member Monetary Policy Committee of Reserve Bank of India (RBI) decided to keep interest rates unchanged at 6.5 per cent in the April review – after hiking the policy repo rate in six previous meetings.

RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das emphasised that the pause was only for the April policy and that the central bank was ready to act if the situation demanded.

“The