Despite the two-day rally, in the past one month, cement companies stocks have underperformed the market by falling up to 17%, as against 8% fall in the BSE Sensex.
On-going escalation of the Iran-Israel-US conflict tends to spike global crude oil prices, which in turn drive up petcoke and diesel prices, affecting cement manufacturers margins, say analysts.
JK Lakshmi Cement expects its pre-tax earnings or EBITDA to improve in the fourth quarter and subsequent periods on the back of rising sales realisation and growing non-trade (B2B) volumes, its President & Director Arun Kumar Shukla said on Monday. Non-trade (Institutional) prices are firming up, demand remains strong, and costs are inching higher, which together will support better realisations compared to the December quarter. "So, EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation) will be better because institutional prices have gone up, demand is better, and cost is also going up. So, I think it is going to be better than Q3 realisation-wise," he said. Cement companies in their Q3 earnings have reported an impact on topline on account of softer cement prices due to GST reduction. When asked about the fourth quarter, Shukla said, "I see it (Q4/FY'26) good because volume and demand are good. Since cost has gone up, prices are also inching up. So, Q4 is going .
Leading cement makers reported strong double-digit year-on-year growth in sales volumes during the December 2025 quarter, even as their realisations came under pressure. The companies remain optimistic of further improvement in demand and prices in the coming months, aided by benign inflation, supportive tax rationalisation measures and healthy infrastructure-led growth. Industry leaders, including UltraTech, Ambuja Cements, Shree Cement, Dalmia Bharat, JK Lakshmi Cement and JSW Cement, saw higher capacity utilisation and expansion in volumes. However, overall profitability was impacted by rising input costs, provisions under new labour codes and elevated prices of pet coke and coal. Despite these challenges, toplines were supported by premiumisation, improved product mix and higher non-trade sales. Apart from grey cement, companies also reported robust growth in their Ready Mix Concrete (RMC) business, which registered high double-digit expansion. Leading cement maker UltraTech .
Cement companies are expected to report robust topline and volume growth amid weak pricing power during the third-quarter of the financial year 2026
The brokerage has an 'Accumulate' rating on JK Cement for a target of ₹6,173 per share; 'Buy' rating on both JK Lakshmi and JSW Cement with a target of ₹891 and ₹143, respectively
HDFC Securities estimates JK Lakshmi Cement will deliver a 10 per cent volume CAGR during FY25-FY28, with margins recovering to ₹986 per tonne in FY28E from ₹713 per tonne in FY25