Page 8 - Indian Rupee

Rate hike in CY26? Why SBI MF's Rajeev Radhakrishnan thinks tide could turn

Radhakrishnan said a persistent supply shock accompanied by a weaker currency can negatively impact inflation and fiscal direction, given the likelihood of higher subsidy requirements

Rupee weakens to fresh low of 95.31 per dollar amid West Asia conflict

The rupee weakened sharply as rising Middle East tensions lifted crude oil prices, strengthened the dollar and intensified pressure on India's external balances

RBI steps in to support rupee as Iran war, PM Modi's remarks spook traders

The renewed pressure on Indian markets came after US President Donald Trump on Sunday rejected Iran's response to a US proposal for peace talks to end the war

RBI should dial back rupee intervention, says former Guv Subbarao

Subbarao said raising interest rates, the "ultimate" exchange rate defence, should be the last resort, as the markets could read it as a sign the conflict poses a bigger threat to India's economy

Rupee crashes 139 paise to 94.90 against US dollar in early trade

The rupee crashed 139 paise to 94.90 against the greenback in early trade on Monday after President Donald Trump rejected Iran's response to the US's peace proposal, following which crude oil prices surged rapidly. A strengthening US dollar and steep FPI outflows further pressured the local unit, according to forex traders. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 94.97 against the US dollar before inching up to 94.90, down a staggering 139 paise from its previous close. On Friday, the rupee pared its losses and ended with a sharp gain of 71 paise at 93.51 against the greenback. Iran has sent its response to the latest US ceasefire proposal via Pakistani mediators and wants negotiations to focus on permanently ending the war, Iran's state-run media said on Sunday. Trump rejected Iran's proposal to end the months-long war as "totally unacceptable" without sharing details even as a key Republican leader urged him to consider the "military option". "After US President

Rupee settles lower at 94.48 against US dollar in choppy trade

The rupee settled weaker against the US dollar amid renewed tensions in West Asia, while RBI intervention helped curb further losses in the domestic currency

Rupee depreciates 45 paise to 94.67 against US dollar in early trade

The rupee depreciated 45 paise to 94.67 against the US dollar in early trade on Friday, as Brent crude prices rose back to USD 101.00 per barrel after US and Iranian forces exchanged fire near the Strait of Hormuz. Forex traders said investor sentiments were affected after Iran accused the US of violating the ceasefire as the US carried out retaliatory strikes with new attacks, which took place in the Strait of Hormuz and civilian areas, while President Donald Trump said the ceasefire was still in effect. Brent oil prices, which had fallen to USD 98 per barrel amid the US-Iran peace deal, edged higher to USD 101 per barrel as investors weighed the prospects for a Middle East peace deal. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 94.58 against the US dollar, then lost momentum and touched 94.67 against the American currency, registering a fall of 45 paise over its previous close. On Thursday, the rupee pared initial losses and settled the day on a positive note,

Rupee falls 28 paise to 94.77 against US dollar amid West Asia conflict

The rupee depreciated 28 paise to 94.77 against the US dollar in early trade on Thursday as market sentiment took a dramatic turn after reports emerged that the US and Iran are discussing a 14-point Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) aimed at reducing tensions and reopening negotiations. Forex traders said Brent oil prices, which had fallen to USD 98 on the US-Iran peace deal, edged slightly higher to USD 101 per barrel after investors weighed the prospects for a Middle East peace deal. Moreover, factors such as unabated foreign capital outflows amid rising geopolitical uncertainties further dented investor sentiment. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 94.77 against the US dollar, registering a fall of 28 paise over its previous close. On Wednesday, the rupee appreciated 69 paise to close at 94.49 against the US dollar. "Markets are currently focused on the critical 48-hour window during which the US expects Tehran's formal response through Pakistani ...

Rupee snaps five-day losing streak as bond yields soften 10 bps

The rupee strengthened sharply and government bond yields eased after crude oil prices fell on hopes of a possible easing in US-Iran tensions

Rupee to trade around ₹95 per US dollar by 2026-end amid Iran war: BMI

The Indian Rupee is likely to trade broadly sideways at around Rs 95 per US dollar by end-2026, from its current level of Rs 95.20 per US dollar, with the Iran conflict expected to weigh on its value, BMI said on Wednesday. However, slowing profit repatriation and central bank currency intervention will limit the pace of rupee depreciation, the Fitch group company said in a report. The US-Iran conflict has exerted downward pressure on emerging market currencies, especially for large energy importers like India. The rupee depreciated 4 per cent during March-April 2026 and currently trades at Rs 95.20/USD. BMI said it expects India's GDP to grow 7.6 per cent and inflation to hit 3.4 per cent during the current fiscal year (April 2025-March 2026). As a result of the currency's weakness, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) intervened heavily in currency markets to stabilise the rupee. "Going forward, we expect the rupee to trade broadly sideways to end the year around Rs 95.00/USD. Our ...

Rupee rises 23 paise to 94.95 against US dollar during early trade

The rupee appreciated by 23 paise to 94.95 against the US dollar in early trade on Wednesday as Brent crude prices retreated from their elevated level after US President Donald Trump hinted at a possible deal with Iran. Forex traders said oil prices fell to USD 108 per barrel, as signs of easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East offset the lingering supply concerns. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 95, then gained some ground and touched an early high of 94.95, registering a gain of 23 paise from its previous low. The rupee was later trading at 95.10 against the greenback. On Tuesday, the rupee settled at 95.18 against the US dollar, after witnessing an all-time intraday low of 95.44 on Tuesday on possible RBI intervention after investors retreated from riskier assets amid renewed clashes in the Gulf and targeting of UAE infrastructure, which reignited supply chain fears. The rupee, which fell to its all-time low of 95.44 on Tuesday, gained this

Rupee hits record low of 95.43 per dollar as US-Iran strikes rattle markets

The rupee depreciated 20 paise to 95.43 against US dollar in early trade on Tuesday as market sentiments remained fragile after renewed military exchanges between US and Iranian forces in the Gulf region. Forex traders said investor anxiety due to instability in the Gulf is causing massive capital flight into safe-haven assets, with the US dollar acting as the primary beneficiary. Moreover, Brent oil prices is hovering near USD 113 per barrel, maintaining pressure on oil-importing economies like India. At the interbank foreign exchange market the rupee opened at 95.30 then lost ground to touch 95.43 against the US dollar, in initial trade, registering a fall of 20 paise over its previous close. Rupee fell 39 paise to close at an all-time low of 95.23 against the US dollar on Monday. "With oil boiling rupee on Monday fell to a closing low of 95.0875 and this morning the opening was still lower as it becomes more and more vulnerable when dollar index rises due to safe-haven buying a

Rupee closes at new low of 95.09 vs US dollar amid crude price rise

The currency depreciated nearly 0.2 per cent on Monday to settle at new closing low of 95.09 against the US dollar

RBI explores steps to mobilise dollar inflows amid rising pressure on rupee

The war ‌between the US, Israel and Iran - now in its third month - has weakened the Indian currency, adding to a near 5 per cent fall in 2025

Rupee falls 11 paise to 94.95 against US dollar amid West Asia crisis

The rupee depreciated 11 paise to 94.95 against the US dollar in early trade on Monday as the ongoing tensions in the Middle East continue to keep markets on edge. Forex traders said Brent oil is hovering near USD 108, maintaining pressure on oil-importing economies like India. Moreover, factors such as unabated foreign capital outflows amid rising geopolitical uncertainties dented investor sentiments further. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee touched 94.95 against the US dollar in initial trade, registering a fall of 11 paise over its previous close. On Thursday, the rupee had settled at 94.84 against the American currency. Stock exchanges and currency markets were closed on Friday on account of Maharashtra Day. "The ongoing tensions in the Middle East continue to keep markets on edge. On one side, US President Donald Trump hinted that Tehran's peace proposal may not be enough, keeping uncertainty alive. That's one reason why Brent crude is hovering near USD 10

Record low rupee may end India's cheap-money era, force RBI policy shift

Rupee weakness amid global turmoil and capital outflows may limit RBI's policy stance, raising risks of rate hikes as inflation, currency pressure and external shocks reshape India's monetary outlook

Rupee hits fresh low past 95/$ as oil surge pushes bond yields above 7%

Currency weakens amid crude oil surge and West Asia tensions; RBI forward book deficit and rising bond yields add to pressure on the rupee

BSE Small, Midcap indices set to post best monthly rally in 12 years

Among 1,262 stocks from the BSE Smallcap index, over half, or 734 stocks, outperformed in April by recording more than 20 per cent return, data shows.

War, oil and the rupee: Why policy is playing defence, not stimulus

India's policy response to rising oil prices and geopolitical risks remains cautious, prioritising macroeconomic stability over stimulus as inflation pressures and second-order effects begin to emerge

Rupee hits record low: Analysts flag 96-97 levels as oil, Fed stance weigh

Rupee hit a record low of 95.32 vs dollar on Thursday. Going ahead, analysts see further downside with 96-97 levels in focus as oil surge, FII outflows and hawkish US Fed weigh on outlook