How London man may have helped trigger the 'flash crash'

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AP New York
Last Updated : Apr 25 2015 | 10:57 PM IST
He operated from a modest suburban London home he shared with his parents, far from the city's glamorous financial center. He used off-the-shelf software anyone can buy.
Yet, if US authorities are correct, Navinder Singh Sarao, 36, managed to send a jolt of fear through the world's markets by helping to set off the 2010 "flash crash," in which the Dow Jones average plunged 600 points in less than seven minutes.
Just how big a role he played has been hotly debated since the federal complaint was unsealed earlier this week, but the idea that a little-known investor had even a small part is deeply troubling, say traders and market experts.
"If this guy can do it," asks finance professor James Angel of Georgetown University, "who else is doing it?"
In an age of rapidly advancing computer power, the fear is that it's not just big banks and hedge funds that can create chaos on exchanges and wipe out the savings of millions of ordinary investors. Someone working from home might be able to do it, too.
"The risks are coming from the small guys who are under the radar," says Irene Aldridge, managing partner of research firm ABLE Alpha Trading and an expert in the kind of high-speed computerized trading that Sarao did.
"The regulators don't have the real-time tools to monitor them."
Sarao allegedly employed a ruse called spoofing, a bluffing technique in which traders try to manipulate the price of stocks or other assets by making fake trades to create the impression they want to sell when they really want to buy, or vice versa.
Eric Scott Hunsader, founder of Nanex, a provider of financial data that has documented what it claims are cases of blatant spoofing, says the practice is widespread in stocks and bonds, oil and gold, cotton and coffee.
He says the bluffing is turning markets into a lawless Wild West, despite efforts by trading firms to fight back with software that can sniff out the false trades.
If the allegations against him are true, Sarao may rank among the best of this new breed of bluffers. His feat was impressive because of the target of his alleged bluffing investors in E-Mini S&P 500 futures, which are financial contracts that allow you to bet on the rise and fall of the Standard and Poor's 500 stock index.
Passing off a fake trade like that as real, much less moving prices, isn't easy, because E-Mini is one of the most widely traded, transparent and scrutinized markets in the world.
"Everyone is watching it," says Manoj Narang, former CEO of Tradeworx, a high-frequency trading firm.
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First Published: Apr 25 2015 | 10:57 PM IST

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