CRISIL Research expects the auto-components industry’s revenue to grow 19-21 per cent year-on-year (YoY) in the current fiscal year (FY23), driven by four tailwinds: strong demand from the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) segment, with sales of passenger vehicles (PVs) expected to surpass pre-Covid levels and resilience in tractor demand; sales of commercial vehicles (CVs) and two-wheelers recovering from the pandemic-driven slump over FY21 and FY22; improving exports triggered by the supply-chain derisking strategy of global OEMs; and demand from the aftermarket segment.
Micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) in the automotive components sector should see higher growth as well, but will lag average industry revenue growth owing to lack of vertical integration.
Improving rural incomes and re-opening of schools and