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India's Covid-19 'human barricade' to keep cases under control: Experts

Cases that were rising by nearly 100,000 a day in September are now growing at just 10,000 a day

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A recent government serological survey indicated 21.5 per cent of Indians were likely infected by Covid-19

Reuters Bengaluru | Mumbai
With falling rates of Covid-19 infection in India and surveys suggesting nearly 300 million people may already have antibodies, some experts believe the worst of the disease has passed, despite a recent uptick in two hard-hit states.

"There is a human barricade for the virus," said Bhramar Mukherjee, an epidemiologist at the University of Michigan, who with a team of researchers, has been modeling the trajectory of the outbreak in India.

"By the end of March, we should see a very slow, steady decline (in cases)," she added.

Cases that were rising by nearly 100,000 a day in September are