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Focus on limiting losses than chasing large gains, CLSA cautions investors

The market will sour in July and September, CLSA said


Christopher wood, CLSA
Christopher Wood, CLSA

Investors should focus on "limiting losses rather than chasing large gains" in the Year of the Pig, which will be a roller-coaster year for Hong Kong's stock market, according to brokerage

The Year of the Pig, which symbolises hard work and affection, will be upset by "small quarrels and pesky spirits", CSLA said on Wednesday in its annual Feng Shui Index, a tongue-in-cheek financial forecast.

Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng Index will dip in the Lunar New Year, which begins on Feb. 5, before "yin metal" and "yang fire" heat up sentiments in May and June, it said.

The market will sour in July and September, said, but investors should hold out for "a fat end to a lean year" as stocks rocket in November, before tumbling again in December. The market predictions are built on the five elements in Chinese astrology - wood, metal, earth, fire and water. The new year is the year of the Earth Pig.

Earth industries, such as construction and real estate, are expected to rise through late summer, said, while tourism, logistics, hospitality and shipping will rise in the second half. Those investing in Hong Kong's housing market should avoid buying in the southwest and northwest of the former British colony and focus on the centre, where the Eight White wealth star sits, the brokerage said.

In the stock market, the index is bullish on technology and internet names as the element of fire courses through the Feng Shui chart. Telecoms and utilities will also benefit, CLSA said.

Restraint is preferred over metal-related sectors, such as financials and machinery.

The Hang Seng Index has climbed roughly 4.5 percent so far this year. It shed 13.6 percent of its value in 2018, as the U.S.-China trade war and cooling Chinese demand hurt sentiment.

First Published: Wed, January 23 2019. 15:05 IST