However, India’s gains have lagged most global peers, with one-year returns of just 2.8 per cent. In comparison, the developed and emerging market (EM) indices have gained 5.8 per cent and 4.6 per cent, respectively, the data compiled by Morningstar shows.
While the past three-month returns for the Indian markets have been strong, the one-year underperformance is on account of relatively weak GDP growth forecasts, said experts. Following the sharp run-up, returns are expected to plateau.
“The sharp rally has toned down expected return estimates, lowering attractiveness relative to that during the March lows. In the near term, the markets will react to further recovery in economic activities, the pandemic spread and potential vaccine, lockdown conditions, and persistent loose monetary conditions,” said Morningstar.