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Nifty stocks on uptrend but technicals point to a pause in the rally

Extended breadth is not the only signal that India's equity rebound may have run too far too fast

Photo: Reuters
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A whopping 98% of stocks in India’s NSE Nifty 50 Index were trading above their 200-day moving average this week.

Moxy Ying and Ronojoy Mazumdar | Bloomberg
The equity rally in India has been so broad that almost every stock in the benchmark is in a technical uptrend. But if history offers a guide, that could point to an upcoming pause.

A whopping 98% of stocks in India’s NSE Nifty 50 Index were trading above their 200-day moving average this week, a level used by technical analysts to determine whether a stock is in an uptrend. The last time India posted such an extreme reading was in July 2014, which was followed by a correction in September that lasted longer than a month.

India's Nifty 50 Index has 98%