The Union Budget for 2019-20 next week will trigger the predictable chorus of criticism that the capital allocation is inadequate for modernising the military’s warfighting arsenal — such as tanks, artillery guns, warships and combat aircraft — that should at minimum match, or ideally outclass, what our likely enemies will pit against us in a war. This concern, while valid, misses a greater shortcoming: The government’s continuing failure to financially provision for the 100,000 new troops it has sanctioned, but has still to adequately fund.
A dozen years of steady manpower growth, in which the army’s payroll has risen six-fold, have seen no commensurate rise in the revenue budget. This has grown only in the mid-single digits — just enough to cover inflation, but not an expanding force. Military planners worry they are close to a financial implosion, caused by a double whammy: A growing force alongside growing pay and pension. Compounding this is the increased cost of equipment due to the Goods and Services Tax (GST), and the imposition of customs duties on defence imports, even of essential weaponry. None of these burdens are compensated for in recent Budgets.
Take the growing cost of manpower: Since 2008, the addition of almost 100,000 combat soldiers has taken the army’s numbers up to 1.26 million; while the air force has grown to 155,000 and the navy to 83,500 — making up a one-and-a-half million-strong military. Starting in 2008-09, the army added two mountain divisions (some 50,000 soldiers) to boost border defences in Arunachal Pradesh. Then, in 2011-12, the United Progressive Alliance government unwisely consented to the army’s plea to raise a new “mountain strike corps” (MSC), comprising two more divisions and another 70,000 soldiers. The two defensive divisions are raised and deployed, as is the first of the MSC’s two divisions. For now, the National Democratic Alliance government has placed the second division on hold. But the troops already raised, including supporting artillery, engineers and logistics units, must be paid, trained, equipped and maintained. The army has set up several new military stations where these formations are located. Where is that money coming from? Since the government has not allocated extra money, the army is forced to generate it from within.
The government sanction letters (GSLs) that green-lighted these four additional divisions, as well as two tank brigades raised along with them, committed extra funding and specified the stages at which payments would be made. That commitment remains on paper with the army still to receive any budgetary increments. Until the government makes good on what the GSL promised, the army must sustain the new units by diverting resources from existing formations. This is naturally hollowing out the army.
In previous instances of large-scale new raisings — such as after the 1962 debacle or, to a lesser extent, after the 1999 Kargil conflict —the defence revenue budget allocations showed a sharp upward rise, caused by the additional expenditure of those raisings. Since 2005, however, allocations have risen evenly by an annual 6-8 per cent, with the exception of a sharp jump in 2008 after the 6th Central Pay Commission (6thCPC) awarded a major salary boost. Even the salary raise of the 7th CPC in 2016 was not accompanied by a corresponding rise in revenue allocations. So the famously adaptive Indian army “makes do” by sharing its already meagre resources within a larger pool. Adding to the military’s manpower costs is the government’s implementation of One Rank One Pension (OROP) in 2015-16. However, with pensions allocated under a separate budget head, the government has no choice but to make available the amount that is disbursed.
A dozen years of steady manpower growth, in which the army’s payroll has risen six-fold, have seen no commensurate rise in the revenue budget. This has grown only in the mid-single digits — just enough to cover inflation, but not an expanding force. Military planners worry they are close to a financial implosion, caused by a double whammy: A growing force alongside growing pay and pension. Compounding this is the increased cost of equipment due to the Goods and Services Tax (GST), and the imposition of customs duties on defence imports, even of essential weaponry. None of these burdens are compensated for in recent Budgets.
Take the growing cost of manpower: Since 2008, the addition of almost 100,000 combat soldiers has taken the army’s numbers up to 1.26 million; while the air force has grown to 155,000 and the navy to 83,500 — making up a one-and-a-half million-strong military. Starting in 2008-09, the army added two mountain divisions (some 50,000 soldiers) to boost border defences in Arunachal Pradesh. Then, in 2011-12, the United Progressive Alliance government unwisely consented to the army’s plea to raise a new “mountain strike corps” (MSC), comprising two more divisions and another 70,000 soldiers. The two defensive divisions are raised and deployed, as is the first of the MSC’s two divisions. For now, the National Democratic Alliance government has placed the second division on hold. But the troops already raised, including supporting artillery, engineers and logistics units, must be paid, trained, equipped and maintained. The army has set up several new military stations where these formations are located. Where is that money coming from? Since the government has not allocated extra money, the army is forced to generate it from within.
The government sanction letters (GSLs) that green-lighted these four additional divisions, as well as two tank brigades raised along with them, committed extra funding and specified the stages at which payments would be made. That commitment remains on paper with the army still to receive any budgetary increments. Until the government makes good on what the GSL promised, the army must sustain the new units by diverting resources from existing formations. This is naturally hollowing out the army.
In previous instances of large-scale new raisings — such as after the 1962 debacle or, to a lesser extent, after the 1999 Kargil conflict —the defence revenue budget allocations showed a sharp upward rise, caused by the additional expenditure of those raisings. Since 2005, however, allocations have risen evenly by an annual 6-8 per cent, with the exception of a sharp jump in 2008 after the 6th Central Pay Commission (6thCPC) awarded a major salary boost. Even the salary raise of the 7th CPC in 2016 was not accompanied by a corresponding rise in revenue allocations. So the famously adaptive Indian army “makes do” by sharing its already meagre resources within a larger pool. Adding to the military’s manpower costs is the government’s implementation of One Rank One Pension (OROP) in 2015-16. However, with pensions allocated under a separate budget head, the government has no choice but to make available the amount that is disbursed.
Illustration: Ajay Mohanty
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