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With just nine matches remaining in the league stage of the 2025 Women's World Cup, Australia and South Africa have already secured their spots in the semi-finals. However, the race for the final two spots remains wide open, with all six other teams still in contention. The upcoming clash between India and England at Indore's Holkar Stadium could be a decisive moment in this thrilling qualification battle.
India’s Path to the Semi-Finals
Matches Played: 5
Wins: 2
Points: 4
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Net Run Rate (NRR): 0.682
India’s chances of making it to the semi-finals are still very much in their hands.
India’s remaining fixtures are against New Zealand, and Bangladesh. If India wins these two games, they will secure a spot in the semi-finals with six points. However, if they win just one, they will need help from other teams. India will hope that their net run rate (NRR) is strong enough to edge out Bangladesh or New Zealand, who may also finish on three wins.
If India only manage to defeat Bangladesh, they’ll need England to beat New Zealand in the final matches to stay in contention.
England’s seal semis spot
Matches Played: 5
Wins: 4
Points: 9
Net Run Rate (NRR): 1.864
England have sealed themselves a semi-final spot after a close win against India by 4 runs on the night.
New Zealand’s Slim Hopes
Matches Played: 5
Wins: 1
Points: 4
Net Run Rate (NRR): -0.245
New Zealand’s hopes of progressing hinge on winning both of their remaining matches. Even with two wins, they will require results to go in their favour, such as India losing to either England or Bangladesh, or England losing to both India and Australia. New Zealand’s NRR is better than Sri Lanka and Pakistan, which could help them if the points table tightens up.
If New Zealand loses to India, they will be eliminated from the tournament, while their chances remain alive if they beat England and India, and Bangladesh loses to Sri Lanka.
Bangladesh’s Outside Chance
Matches Played: 5
Wins: 1
Points: 2
Net Run Rate (NRR): -0.676
Bangladesh still has a slim chance to make the semi-finals, but they will need to win both of their remaining matches against Sri Lanka and India. Additionally, they will hope that England defeats both India and New Zealand. If New Zealand finishes with just six points, Bangladesh’s superior win count could help them advance. However, their poor NRR means they will need big victories in their remaining matches to improve their chances.
Sri Lanka and Pakistan’s Last-Ditch Efforts
Matches Played: 5
Wins: 0
Points: 2
Net Run Rate (NRR): -1.564 (Sri Lanka), -1.887 (Pakistan)
Both Sri Lanka and Pakistan are yet to secure a win, but they still have an outside chance of qualifying. To stay in the race, Sri Lanka must win their last two matches against Pakistan and Bangladesh, hoping that India loses all their remaining games. They will also need England to beat New Zealand in the final match of the league stage.
Similarly, Pakistan needs to win their final two games against South Africa and Sri Lanka. They will also rely on improving their NRR by large margins to surpass New Zealand, which could see them finish on six points.
With several teams vying for the final semi-final spots, the next few days will be crucial for teams like India, England, New Zealand, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, and Pakistan. The qualification picture will become clearer after the India vs England clash, but for now, it remains anyone's game. Each team’s fate rests on their performance and, for some, on results from others.
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