Monsoon Forecast IMD

According to the IMD, on Saturday, generally cloudy skies are forecast, with very light to light rain at many places and moderate rain at isolated places in Delhi

The national capital will most likely see no rain on September 27, although skies are likely to turn partly cloudy from September 25

Monsoon rainfall was 13.8 per cent below normal during June-August, with around 350 districts, or 47 per cent of India, receiving deficient or very deficient rain by August 31

The weather office forecasts July rainfall at less than 94 per cent of the long period average and advises farmers to adopt water conservation measures amid a weak monsoon

The monsoon, which accounts for about 70% of India's annual rainfall, is vital for the $300 billion farm economy and has an outsized influence on food prices, rural demand and broader economic output

According to a recent India Meteorological Department (IMD) release, India recorded 45.6 mm of rainfall by June 20 against the seasonal normal of 84.4 mm, resulting in a 46 per cent shortfall.

The monsoon has so far brought rains about 43% below average, and the weather office has forecast weak rains through the week ending July 2

With rainfall turning weaker and El Nino risks rising, India could face pressure on farm output, food inflation, rural demand and overall economic growth in FY27

IMD forecasts widespread rainfall across southern and northeastern states, while thunderstorms and gusty winds continue over parts of north and central India

The IMD said monsoon has advanced over Kerala, Lakshadweep, parts of Karnataka and Tamil Nadu, and is likely to make further progress over the next few days

Experts say the spatial distribution of rainfall and longer monsoon breaks could have a greater impact on farmers and rural livelihoods than the overall seasonal rainfall deficit

Pre-monsoon activity has intensified across several regions as the IMD forecasts widespread rainfall activity in south and Northeast India, while thunderstorms are likely to persist in north India

The duration of the Strait of Hormuz disruption remains the 'single most consequential variable' for India's external and price outlook, the report said

India's reservoirs remain below half capacity in peak summer for a decade, as heatwaves intensify and sub-normal monsoon forecasts raise water stress concerns

IMD flags a 31 per cent probability of "below normal" monsoon and a 35 per cent chance of rainfall below 90 per cent of LPA-risks for agriculture, heatwaves, and demand

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IMD's below-normal monsoon forecast raises farm concerns, but past trends show steady foodgrain output supported by irrigation, resilient seeds, and better rainfall distribution

Private forecaster Skymet pegs 2026 monsoon at 94 per cent of LPA, with El Nino impact likely to drag rainfall below normal and key kharif months turning weak

Delhi-NCR residents woke up to winter chill as the temperature saw a drop today, on Nov 25. IMD has also issued a yellow alert for Southern India, like Tamil Nadu, Kerala & Karnataka

IMD issues red and orange alerts across eastern and southern India as Cyclone Montha intensifies; Odisha, Tamil Nadu, and Andhra brace for heavy rains and strong winds