Monsoon Forecast IMD

The weather office forecasts July rainfall at less than 94 per cent of the long period average and advises farmers to adopt water conservation measures amid a weak monsoon

The monsoon, which accounts for about 70% of India's annual rainfall, is vital for the $300 billion farm economy and has an outsized influence on food prices, rural demand and broader economic output

According to a recent India Meteorological Department (IMD) release, India recorded 45.6 mm of rainfall by June 20 against the seasonal normal of 84.4 mm, resulting in a 46 per cent shortfall.

The monsoon has so far brought rains about 43% below average, and the weather office has forecast weak rains through the week ending July 2

With rainfall turning weaker and El Nino risks rising, India could face pressure on farm output, food inflation, rural demand and overall economic growth in FY27

IMD forecasts widespread rainfall across southern and northeastern states, while thunderstorms and gusty winds continue over parts of north and central India

The IMD said monsoon has advanced over Kerala, Lakshadweep, parts of Karnataka and Tamil Nadu, and is likely to make further progress over the next few days

Experts say the spatial distribution of rainfall and longer monsoon breaks could have a greater impact on farmers and rural livelihoods than the overall seasonal rainfall deficit

Pre-monsoon activity has intensified across several regions as the IMD forecasts widespread rainfall activity in south and Northeast India, while thunderstorms are likely to persist in north India

The duration of the Strait of Hormuz disruption remains the 'single most consequential variable' for India's external and price outlook, the report said

India's reservoirs remain below half capacity in peak summer for a decade, as heatwaves intensify and sub-normal monsoon forecasts raise water stress concerns

IMD flags a 31 per cent probability of "below normal" monsoon and a 35 per cent chance of rainfall below 90 per cent of LPA-risks for agriculture, heatwaves, and demand

Economy wrap April 13-19: Rising fuel-led inflation, job market stress and West Asia risks cloud near-term outlook even as government attempts to sustain growth momentum

IMD's below-normal monsoon forecast raises farm concerns, but past trends show steady foodgrain output supported by irrigation, resilient seeds, and better rainfall distribution

Private forecaster Skymet pegs 2026 monsoon at 94 per cent of LPA, with El Nino impact likely to drag rainfall below normal and key kharif months turning weak

Delhi-NCR residents woke up to winter chill as the temperature saw a drop today, on Nov 25. IMD has also issued a yellow alert for Southern India, like Tamil Nadu, Kerala & Karnataka

IMD issues red and orange alerts across eastern and southern India as Cyclone Montha intensifies; Odisha, Tamil Nadu, and Andhra brace for heavy rains and strong winds

A new database aims to track real losses as monsoons batter roads, power, and telecom, exposing gaps in disaster planning

A cloudburst in Chamoli's Tharali area killed one person and left two missing; homes, shops and vehicles were buried under debris as Army, NDRF and SDRF teams carry out rescue operations

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Monday predicted heavy to very heavy rain for the next 24 hours in parts of Dakshina Kannada, Udupi and Uttara Kannada districts. Meanwhile, Hangaloru in Udupi district received the highest rainfall on Sunday, measuring 92mm, Gadag district reported 77.1mm rainfall, the third highest rainfall for July so far, it said. It recorded 89.7mm in 2005 and 87.1mm in 2022. The all-time high of 136.4mm rainfall was witnessed in Gadag on September 29, 1960. In Bengaluru, rainfall between 4 and 10mm is expected in the Greater Bengaluru area on Monday. The state capital received 6.5mm rainfall on Sunday. Renjala (73.5mm) and Hakladi (70mm), also in Udupi District, are the other places in Karnataka where rainfall over 70mm was received on Sunday. IMD has predicted heavy rainfall on Monday in parts of Bidar, Kalburgi, Raichur and Yadgir districts of north interior Karnataka. In south interior Karnataka, parts of Chikkamagaluru, Kodagu, Hassan, Shivam