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One coronavirus patient can infect 406 persons in no lockdown: ICMR

ICMR assumed R-naught at 2.5 for the study; 107,006 tests for Covid-19 have been conducted to date

Medical staff members of a government-run medical college collect swabs from people to test for Covid-19 at a newly installed walk-in sample kiosk in Kerala's Ernakulam Photo: Reuters
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Medical staff members of a government-run medical college collect swabs from people to test for Covid-19 at a newly installed walk-in sample kiosk in Kerala’s Ernakulam Photo: Reuters

Ruchika Chitravanshi New Delhi
The Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) has estimated that one sick person could infect up to 406 others in 30 days if there was no lockdown, health ministry officials said on Tuesday as the number of confirmed coronavirus cases climbed to 4,789.

The ICMR study comes at a time when various state governments have requested the Centre to extend the 21-day lockdown beyond April 14.

The study talks about a scenario where 75 per cent of the lockdown is lifted. In such a situation, the same person would infect 2.5 persons.

“It is important to adopt lockdown measures, as

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