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How a tweak in IMD's forecasts will help India prepare better for monsoon

IMD's month-wise LRF is particularly useful given the increasing unpredictability of rainfall due to climate change or even usual changes in weather patterns

A woman tries to cross a waterlogged street during heavy monsoon rain at Kings Circle, in Mumbai
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Sanjeeb Mukherjee New Delhi
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) is starting a new experiment of disseminating month-wise Long Range Forecast (LRF) of the June-to-September period in the 2021 monsoon season.

The department has so far been coming out with three main LRFs in a monsoon.

The first is the initial forecast, usually announced around mid-April, and updated by the second-stage forecast somewhere in June.

The IMD provided region-wise forecasts for the four main zones of North-West, East and North-East, Central and Southern Peninsula in the second forecast and also updated the first, where needed.

Thereafter, the department also released the mid-season forecast in August