You are here: Home » International » News » Economy
Business Standard

How the British Parliament can wrest control of Brexit from Theresa May

Liberal Democrat leader Vince Cable is asking for the government to prepare for another Brexit referendum

Robert Hutton | Bloomberg 

Theresa May
Britain's Prime Minister Theresa May | Photo: Reuters

With UK Prime Minister refusing to budge from her position, members of Parliament are proposing a range of amendments demanding a change of direction.

Some overlap and some complement each other. The chances of passage depend on how May and Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn order their lawmakers to vote.

Here’s a summary of the main options proposed so far. It’s up to Parliament’s speaker to pick which amendments go to a vote.

Labour’s Customs Union Or Second Referendum

Corbyn is demanding Parliament hold a vote on different options. His amendment specifies two: staying in a customs union with the (the model Labour favors), and a second exit referendum.

Chance of passing: Low. Even Conservative politicians who back a are unlikely to support something with Corbyn’s name on it. And the Labour leader still looks more wedded to trying to force a general election.

Indicative Votes

Labour’s Hilary Benn, who chairs Parliament’s Committee, wants a series of free-standing votes on the options, as recommended by his committee. They include a customs union, though not Labour’s exact model.

ALSO READ: What the disastrous Brexit caper tells us

Chance of passing: Medium to high, depending on whether Labour swings behind it.

Extension

Labour’s Rachel Reeves, who chairs Parliament’s Business Committee, is calling on May to seek an extension to the so-called exit process if she hasn’t gotten a deal through Parliament by Feb. 26.

Chance of passing: Medium to high, depending again on Labour’s position.

Extension With Teeth

While Reeves’s amendment only instructs the government on Article 50, Labour’s Yvette Cooper and Conservative Nick Boles want to make it law. They’re asking Parliament to vote to change its own rules so that, for one day, it can debate a bill which would require May to seek from the EU an extension of Article 50 until the end of the year.

Chance of passing: High, if Labour supports it. It’s been signed by several Tories who have recently joined the ranks of rebels and are determined to avoid a no-deal Brexit.

Give Parliament Control

Former Attorney General Dominic Grieve, a Conservative and leading campaigner for a second referendum, is asking for six days of over February and March when back-bench members of Parliament are in control. The last of those is March 26, three days before Britain’s scheduled departure from the EU. Like the Cooper-Boles plan, this is designed to give rank-and-file politicians power to direct next steps, and could provide for a last-ditch attempt to avoid a no-deal Brexit.


ALSO READ: Third-party mediation or consensus: What's the way forward for Brexit deal?

Chance of passing: Medium to high, if Labour supports it. It’s been signed by more than 50 MPs, including Tories who aren’t habitual rebels.

Rule Out No Deal

Former Conservative minister Caroline Spelman has teamed up with Labour’s Jack Dromey to propose an amendment that rules out a no-deal Brexit.

Chances of Passing: High, if selected. The House of Commons already indicated in a vote on a Finance Bill amendment this month that a majority of lawmakers oppose a no-deal Brexit.

Time-Limit the Backstop

Conservative backbencher Andrew Murrison said on Twitter he’s submitted an amendment that “insists on an expiry date to the backstop.” It’s a rejigged version of an amendment on the Irish border he submitted on May’s deal last week -- but it wasn’t selected for a vote. His colleague John Baron has also submitted amendments calling for no backstop at all, or one only lasting six months.

ALSO READ: Jaguar Land Rover to halt production for a week in April due to Brexit

Chance of passing: Low -- unless the government backs it. Adding a time limit to the backstop would make May’s deal more palatable to a swathe of opponents in her own party. Of course whether the EU would accede to the demand is another matter: it’s been adamant it won’t.

Citizens’ Assembly

Labour’s Stella Creasy and Lisa Nandy want an extension of Article 50 to allow a 250-member so-called citizens’ assembly -- selected to be electorally representative -- to consider Brexit and make recommendations. Former Labour Prime Minister Gordon Brown has backed the idea in the media.

ALSO READ: Why Brexit could be a boon for Indian students looking to study in UK

Chance of passing: Very low. Neither May’s Tories nor the Labour Party support it, and its conclusions would likely immediately be challenged by people who disagreed. Still, the model was adopted by Ireland ahead of its referendum on legalizing abortion.

Second Referendum

Liberal Democrat leader Vince Cable is asking for the government to prepare for another Brexit referendum.

Chance of passing: Very low. The proposal has only been signed by Liberal Democrats and is unlikely to be called. If it were, with neither main party’s leadership backing a referendum, this would do well to get more than 200 votes.


©2019Bloomberg

First Published: Fri, January 25 2019. 11:22 IST
RECOMMENDED FOR YOU