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If Opec thinks it has done its job with output cuts, 2019 will be a shock

If the group doesn't alter its current track, global oil stockpiles are set to rise by around 1.8 mn barrels a day in the first quarter of 2019 and to continue building throughout the year

Crude oil prices have firmed up since Opec’s November 2016 agreement to cut production by 1.2 million barrels per day
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Crude oil prices have firmed up since Opec’s November 2016 agreement to cut production by 1.2 million barrels per day

Bloomberg | Julian Lee
It was meant to be a short, sharp shock. Instead, Opec members are facing a long, slow grind with no end in sight. 

The deal reached with several non-Opec countries in 2016 to cut oil supply and drain excess inventories was meant to last just six months. But after last week's ugly slide into a bear market for prices, the agreement looks likely to drag into a third year as the group faces having to make further cuts in 2019.


Taking 1.8 million barrels a