Yathindra took over his brother’s responsibilities at the time which included looking after his father's constituency. Later, Siddaramiah shifted to the neighbouring Chamundeswari, leaving a ‘safe’ constituency for his son. More than half the voters in Varuna, a rural area that depends on agriculture, belong to Scheduled Castes, Scheduled Tribes and Other Backward Castes which include over 35,000 Kurubas — the shepherd caste to which Siddaramaiah belongs.
However, the constituency has around 60,000 Lingayats, a politically powerful and affluent caste that got the tag of a minority non-Hindu sect. It is also the caste to which B S Yeddyurappa of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) belongs.
Yeddyurappa himself is contesting from Shikaripura, far away from Mysuru. But his son, B Y Vijayendra could turn out to be the BJP candidate contesting from Varuna, in which case the constituency will see a son vs son contest. Although the BJP frowns upon nepotism of this variety, Vijayendra might get the ticket just to prove a point — that the Lingayats are with the BJP.
This is not the only narrative in Varuna. V Srinivasa Prasad, a senior Congress leader who had joined the BJP after being dropped from the council of ministers by Siddaramaiah, contested a by-election from the Nanjangud constituency neighbouring Varuna. He lost and Yathindra's managers hope this will repeat itself. If the Dalits, OBCs and STs do vote for the Congress, Yathindra's victory is assured.
In a belt that is dominated by H D Deve Gowda’s Janata Dal (Secular), Varuna stands out as a Congress beacon: the party won 12 of the 16 assembly seats in 2013, conceding the rest to Deve Gowda’s party. The BJP got zero seats here.
The question is: whom will the BJP field this time? If Vijayendra is indeed fielded from here, the contest will get that much more interesting. It is considered the Chief Minister’s constituency, and voters here want it to continue being the chief minister’s constituency no matter the colour of the flag. The outcome in Varuna could spring a big surprise.