The latest consumer inflation (CPI) print in the US for June came in at 9.1 per cent - the highest reading since 1981, and surpassed most analysts' expectations, who had pegged this at 8.8 per cent
As regards valuations, Nomura believes stocks have largely (if not fully) priced in expectations of higher policy/discount rates. They expect the markets to remain choppy in the near-term
In the short-term, Wood suggests that investors should sell stocks on a rally. The bet for a sustained equity market rally before 2022 end is a possible change in the US Fed's language, he said
Given the macro headwinds - the need to tighten monetary policy combined with the risk of a much higher oil price, are the key reasons Wood has been in no hurry to add to the 'overweight' position
Maruti Suzuki posted a 58% rise in fourth-quarter net profit at Rs 1,839 crore. PM Modi said that he aims to make India a hub for semiconductors for the world. Read more on these in our top headlines.
This process, according to Wood, is already well underway with Netflix now down 69 per cent year-to-date (YTD)
Foreign portfolio investors exited India in droves and have sold stocks since October 2021 amid fears of an earlier and faster-than-expected rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (US Fed)
Despite the likelihood of an aggressive rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (US Fed), a correction in equity markets, analysts expect the primary market action to stay on track, albeit a minor hiccup
A similar view was shared by Raamdeo Agrawal, co-founder and joint managing director, Motilal Oswal Financial Services, who suggested that Indian equity markets were on the cusp of a major bull-run
A budget is a good one if it does not create headlines and that's what the Indian budget has proved to be
Christopher Wood, global head of equity strategy at Jefferies reiterates his bullish view, remains structurally overweight on India, and would look to buy Indian stocks on every decline
Global fund managers should keep an eye on the 5-yr forward inflation expectation rate in the US to get a sense of the timing of taper by the US Fed
The portfolio includes marquee stocks such as ICICI Bank, HDFC, Bajaj Finance, and Reliance Industries
Investors should stick with the pro-cyclical commodity trade, particularly energy, Wood said
Global markets, according to a note by Goldman Sachs, are currently underestimating the demand for oil
Besides Wood, analysts at Credit Suisse Wealth Management also recommend hiking exposure to cyclical stocks as they do not see a repeat of the stringent lockdown seen in 2020
The return of inflation fears have been stoked again by the rise in commodity prices, especially oil
The 10-year and 30-year US Treasury finished at 1.34 per cent and 2.13 per cent, respectively, last week
Rising inflation expectations, Wood believes, is one of the reasons that will boost cyclical trades going ahead, and the best way to play this is via bank and oil-related stocks
For the market to have a real nasty unwind at the global level, Wood believes there needs to be a catalyst in the form of an economic downturn or a material tightening in US Fed policy