Page 6 - Gdp Forecast

Ind-Ra ups FY25 GDP growth forecast to 7.5% on expectation of high demand

India Ratings & Research (Ind-Ra) on Wednesday upped India's GDP growth forecast for the current fiscal to 7.5 per cent from 7.1 per cent projected earlier on expectation of improved consumption demand. It said The ongoing growth momentum led by government capex, deleveraged balance sheets of corporates/banks, and incipient private corporate capex cycle has now found support from the union government budget. The budget promises to bolster agricultural/rural spending, improve credit delivery to MSMEs and incentivise employment creation in the economy. "Ind-Ra believes these measures would help in broad basing the consumption demand," the rating agency said while revising up its GDP growth estimate for FY25 to 7.5 per cent. Ind-Ra's growth projection is higher than that of RBI which projected FY25 growth at 7.2 per cent and Finance Ministry's Economic Survey which estimated GDP expansion between 6.5-7 per cent. Ind-Ra expects Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE) to grow to a

India's FY25 GDP growth will surpass Economic Survey forecast: Industry

Industry bodies on Monday expressed confidence that India's GDP growth will surpass the 6.5 to 7 per cent forecast by the Economic Survey, and hoped that the upcoming Budget will roll out measures to help unlock the country's growth potential. Reacting to the Economic Survey 2023-24, tabled in Parliament, Chandrajit Banerjee, Director General, CII, stated that it is "pragmatic" in its approach and offers a futuristic vision to move India boldly towards achieving the developed economy status by 2047. "The survey is positive about the India growth story, and I am confident that India's GDP growth for FY25 will surpass the forecast given in the Survey and basis certain conditions, it has the potential to be at 8 per cent," CII President Sanjiv Puri said. Echoing similar sentiments, President of PHD Chamber of Commerce and Industry Sanjeev Agrawal said the Survey conservatively projects a real GDP growth of 6.5-7 per cent, with risks evenly balanced and market expectations on the higher

IMF raises India's GDP growth forecast by 20 basis points to 7% for FY25

RBI has projected the Indian economy to grow at 7.2 per cent in FY25

ADB keeps India's GDP growth projection for FY25 unchanged at 7%

Projection must be weighed against 'downside risks from weather events and geopolitical shocks', it says

Budget Watch: Sitharaman likely to address banking, insurance reforms

Government's equity dilution in state-owned lenders will be one issue financial market observers will monitor

New base years for national accounts, macro indicators from Jan-Feb 2026

A base year is the reference year whose prices are used to calculate the real growth (minus inflation) in national income

S&P Global Ratings retains India's growth forecast for FY25 at 6.8%

For FY26 and FY27, S&P projected India's economy to grow at 6.9 per cent and 7 per cent, respectively

India to remain fastest-growing among largest economies, says World Bank

For FY26 and FY27, the World Bank projected India's economy to grow at 6.7 per cent and 6.8 per cent respectively

India Q4 GDP numbers today: Will the actual data match the predictions?

India's GDP growth rate accelerated to 8.4% in Q3FY24; FY24 growth estimate at 7.6%

Goldman Sachs ups India 2024 GDP forecast to 6.7%; sees RBI rate cut in Q4

RBI's MPC has sounded caution on sticky food inflation, Goldman Sachs says, owing to supply-side disruptions due to the ongoing hot weather conditions in many parts of India

India's Q4 GDP growth projected at 6.7%, FY24 growth at 7.8%, says ICRA

Domestic rating agency ICRA on Tuesday projected India's GDP growth to moderate to a four quarter low of 6.7 per cent in March quarter of 2023-24 fiscal. For the full 2023-24 fiscal, ICRA estimates GDP growth to come in at 7.8 per cent. The Indian economy grew 8.2 per cent in the June quarter, 8.1 per cent in the September quarter and 8.4 per cent in the December quarter of 2023-24. ICRA Chief Economist, Head-Research & Outreach Aditi Nayar said the lower volume growth coupled with diminishing gains from commodity prices dampening the profitability of some of the industrial sectors is expected to dampen India's GVA growth in Q4 FY2024. India's GDP expanded 6.1 per cent in the March quarter of 2022-23 fiscal, as per May 31, 2023 estimates. The growth for full fiscal 2022-23 was 7 per cent. The GDP numbers for the fourth quarter (January-March 2024) and the provisional estimates for the 2023-24 fiscal are scheduled to be released on May 31. ICRA, in a statement, said the gap betwee

India's digital economy is growing 2.8x of GDP: Rajeev Chandrasekhar

'We are already the fastest-growing digital economy in the world, and for me, it is clear that we are aiming for a $1 trillion digital economy by 2027-28', he further added

GDP growth rate likely to be 6.7% in Q4, around 7% in FY24: Ind-RA

India Ratings and Research expects the country's GDP growth rate for the March quarter at 6.7 per cent and around 6.9-7 per cent for the 2023-24 fiscal, its principal economist Sunil Kumar Sinha said. The GDP numbers for the fourth quarter (January-March 2024) and the provisional estimates for the 2023-24 fiscal are scheduled to be released by the government on May 31. The Indian economy grew 8.2 per cent in the June quarter, 8.1 per cent in the September quarter and 8.4 per cent in the December quarter of 2023-24. "We are expecting the fourth quarter growth to be 6.7 per cent and the overall GDP growth for FY24 to be around 6.9-7 per cent," Sinha told PTI Videos in an interview. He said the growth rate in the first two quarters benefited from a low base, though the 8.4 per cent growth rate in the third (October-December 2023) quarter was surprising. "When we analyse the data, then what is visible is the wedge between the GVA and GDP. A large impetus to Q3 GDP has come from higher

UN revises India's GDP growth forecast by 70 basis points to 6.9%

The UN body also noted that surging demand for critical minerals presented new opportunities for developing economies but pointed to a need for innovation and policy and institutional reforms

UK exits recession with better-than-expected forecast 0.6% GDP growth

The Office for National Statistics said gross domestic product expanded by 0.6 per cent in the three months to March, the strongest expansion since the fourth quarter of 2021

'Omens good', India can grow 6.5-7% in the next decade: CEA Nageswaran

Inflation headed towards central bank's tolerance range; 'don't see scope for nasty upside surprises'

India needs 'hard reforms' to reach GDP growth of 7.5%, says HSBC

Prime Minister Narendra Modi - who is seeking a third term in elections that run until June 1 - has been campaigning on making India a developed nation by 2047

Indian economy likely to grow 7% in FY24 amid benign global outlook: NCAER

The Indian economy could grow more than 7 per cent during the current fiscal amid a benign global outlook and expected above-normal monsoon, economic think tank NCAER has said. In its April 2024 issue of Monthly Economic Review (MER), NCAER said a range of high-frequency indicators reveal the resilience of the domestic economy with the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing at a 16-year high and UPI, the leading digital payments system, touching the highest volume since its inception in 2016. "Projected acceleration in both global growth and trade volumes, as well as a forecast of an above-normal monsoon, indicate that the Indian economy can again attain growth rates higher than 7 per cent during the current fiscal year," said NCAER Director General Poonam Gupta. According to NCAER, Goods and Services Tax (GST) collections reached Rs 1.8 lakh crore in March, the second best since its rollout in 2017, while UPI recorded 13.4 billion transactions (in volume) in March 2024,

Capex push by govt to propel GDP growth between 7.1-7.4% in FY25: NIPFP

However, the review by the NIPFP also listed compression in the government consumption expenditure and a subdued growth in private consumption as downward risks to the forecast

Our economy doing well compared to global growth: India to World Bank

Despite a challenging global scenario, India's economy has shown robust growth over the past year backed by sustained consumption and investment demand, a top Indian official told members of a World Bank committee here. The GDP growth estimate for the fiscal, which has been revised upwards from 7.3 per cent to 7.6 per cent in the second advance estimates, highlights the enduring strength and resilience of the Indian economy, India's Economic Affairs Secretary Ajay Seth said while addressing the Development Committee meeting here on Thursday. India grew above 8 per cent for three consecutive quarters of FY24, reaffirming its position as a standout performer amidst sluggish global growth trends, Seth said. He said that similar sentiments have been echoed by various agencies who have revised India's fiscal 24 growth estimate closer to 8 per cent. India's proactive stance on reform and investment in sustainable growth avenues sets a benchmark for emerging economies. The Indian delegati