The big difference in this year's forecast by two agencies has been their inability to assess the rains in the last two months of monsoon season
Overall shortfall of 5% from normal; states struggle to declare drought
IMD needs to upgrade prediction skills
Kharif crop acreage lags last year's
With monsoon taking a break, independent weathermen have doubts if the four-month long season would be normal this year. Monsoon has been below normal by 5 per cent till Friday, and has impacted the sowing of kharif crops, with total area under cultivation falling 0.56 per cent till date year-on-year. Only cotton and sugarcane saw a rise in acreage, according to the data released by the agriculture ministry. Overall, the sowing area is 101.38 million hectares against 101.96 million hectares a year ago. Normal monsoon was one of the assumptions in various forecasts of economic growth this financial year. Other than this, the government expenditure was supposed to drive growth. So, if monsoon is below normal, the onus of driving gross domestic product (GDP) growth will fall on the government alone. However, for the first quarter of the current financial year, agriculture may still drive growth as monsoon was above normal in June. GDP growth has been official forecast in the range of ...
If weather men are to be believed the rains are expected to become active over these areas
On the other hand, states like Gujarat, Rajasthan, several parts of Northeast have witnessed floods
A good monsoon is not enough to redress farm distress
Lull phase beyond a fortnight could impact standing crops
No impact on crop seen
The southwest monsoon which reached the country on May 30 well within its normal onset date
It has reached West Bengal and is slowly progressing towards northwestern part of country
Weather agency says, however, there will be no change in max temperatures in next 24 hours
The onset of southwest monsoon over Kerala signals the arrival of monsoon over Indian subcontinent
The earlier prediction for Kerala was June 5, says IMD official M. Mahapatra
The normal date of onset of monsoon over Kerala is June 1
Looks likely to receive higher monsoon rainfall as concern over El Nino weather condition eased
India defines average, or normal, rainfall as between 96% and 104% of the 50-year average
Around 25-30% of the country's landmass in any given season does not get adequate rainfall
Production this season has been 34 mn bales, from 33 mn in previous year, though crop area was less