Even as IIP forecast for June remains dim and retail inflation remains sluggish, calls for long term
Experts remain positive on private banks, especially on HDFC Bank, IndusInd Bank and YES Bank
It made a strong case citing five-year low inflation and deceleration in the factory output
Recent data pointing to a slowing in industrial production growth and to a fall in retail price inflation has given room to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to cut its policy rate at the review meeting on August 2, believe many economists and bankers.Not all share the belief. And, even those who think RBI will cut the rate add that the lower borrowing cost will not be able to revive investment or credit growth (which fell to a 40-year low of 5.1 per cent in 2016-17) in a hurry.The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) expanded 1.7 per cent in May, lower than the revised 2.8 per cent rate in April. Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation was down to a record low of 1.5 per cent in June from 2.2 per cent the previous month.Soumya Kanti Ghosh, State Bank of India (SBI) group chief economist, says it will very difficult for RBI to find reasons for not cutting the policy rate. It will cut the rate by at least 25 basis points (bps), he said. To be effective,he thinks, the central bank should ...
A more accomodative monetary policy with lower interest rate would stimulate consumer demand
Global commodity prices have moderated and food prices are down, said CII Director General
Says risks seen by RBI include El Nino, higher food prices, one-off impact of GST, among others
Says growth remains weak, inflation is within 2-6% range, rate cut would help recoup forex reserves