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Fiscal Deficit

About Fiscal Deficit

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What is Fiscal Deficit

A country’s fiscal balance is measured by its government’s revenue vis-a-vis its expenditure in a given financial year. Fiscal deficit, the condition when the expenditure of the government exceeds its revenue in a year, is the difference between the two. Fiscal deficit is calculated both in absolute terms and as a percentage of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP).
 
The fiscal deficit of a country is calculated as a percentage of its GDP or simply as the total money spent by the government in excess of its income. In either case, the income figure includes only taxes and other revenues and excludes money borrowed to make up the shortfall.
 
In her maiden Union Budget, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman had revised the government’s fiscal deficit target for 2019-20 to 3.3 per cent of GDP, 10 basis points lower than the target for the previous financial year.
 
How is fiscal deficit calculated?
 
The fiscal deficit, in mathematical terms, is [total revenue generated — total expenditure]. The total revenue is the sum of revenue receipts, recovery of loans and other receipts of the government.
 
While most countries continue to project a deficit in their economies, a surplus is a rare phenomenon. A high deficit at times also emerges if the government is spending on developmental works like construction of highways, ports, roads, airports which will later generate revenue for the government.
 
What are components of the fiscal deficit calculation?
 
The fiscal deficit calculations are based on two components — income and expenditure.
 
Income component: The income component is made of two variables, revenue generated from taxes levied by the Centre and the income generated from non-tax variables. The taxable income consists of the amount generated from corporation tax, income tax, Customs duties, excise duties, GST, among others. Meanwhile, the non-taxable income comes from external grants, interest receipts, dividends and profits, receipts from Union Territories, among others.
 
Expenditure component: The government in its Budget allocates funds for several works, including payments of salaries, pensions, emoluments, creation of assets, funds for infrastructure, development, health and numerous other sectors that form the expenditure component.
 
How is fiscal deficit balanced out?
 
While a rising deficit is a challenge for the government in the long term, to balance it out in short-term macroeconomics, the government looks at market borrowings by issuing bonds and selling them in through banks. Banks buy these bonds with currency deposits and then sell them to investors. Government bonds are considered an extremely safe investment instrument, so the interest rate paid on loans to the government represents risk-free investment.
 
The government also sees a deficit situation as an opportunity to expand policies and schemes, including welfare programmes, without having to raise taxes or cut spending in the Budget.

Latest Updates on Fiscal Deficit

Can the Union Budget 2026-27 unveil a low debt-deficit path to growth?

The forthcoming Budget could think of maintaining public capital expenditure at 3% so that domestic resources are available for private investments

Updated On: 20 Jan 2026 | 10:38 PM IST

Disinvestment revival will be useful in sustaining capital expenditure

It is encouraging that the government's dependence on disinvestment receipts in managing its finances has reduced, but the instrument should not be discarded

Updated On: 19 Jan 2026 | 11:03 PM IST

India's state finances face headwinds in FY26, says CareEdge report

The report suggests that growth in aggregate revenue receipts slowed to 7.2 per cent year-on-year during April-November 2025

Updated On: 13 Jan 2026 | 11:37 PM IST

Indian economy faces five headwinds that leave no margin for error

Markets look calm, but five forces-rising debt, slowing revenues, weak savings, geopolitics and populism-signal a tougher growth phase for India

Updated On: 11 Jan 2026 | 10:12 PM IST

Govt to meet fiscal deficit target of 4.4% in FY26, may even better it: PwC

The revision in the nominal GDP growth target from 10.1 per cent to 8 per cent by the National Statistical Office recently raised concerns about the government's ability to meet the fiscal deficit tar

Updated On: 11 Jan 2026 | 12:56 PM IST

Pre-Budget meet: States push for equitable funds, higher deficit limits

The Telangana government has appealed to the Centre to enhance the fiscal deficit target to at least four per cent of the GSDP from the ideal levels of around 3.5 per cent

Updated On: 11 Jan 2026 | 10:17 AM IST

FY27 fiscal deficit likely to overshoot target to touch 4.6%: BMI

BMI said that the fresh spending needs would not necessarily entail greater public deficits if the government could generate more revenue

Updated On: 08 Jan 2026 | 10:01 PM IST

Datanomics: Lower tax buoyancy, not GDP, weighs on Centre's finances

Slower nominal GDP growth in FY26 may not hurt deficit math, but weak tax buoyancy and a slipping tax-to-GDP ratio signal rising stress on revenue collections

Updated On: 07 Jan 2026 | 11:19 PM IST

Fiscal deficit target in reach despite lower nominal GDP growth estimate

The Budget estimates for this year had assumed a nominal GDP growth of 10.1 per cent

Updated On: 07 Jan 2026 | 10:47 PM IST

Centre's fiscal deficit at 62.3% of FY26 BE in April-November; capex up 28%

CGA data showed the Centre's fiscal deficit rose to Rs 9.77 trillion, or 62.3 per cent of FY26 Budget estimates, in April-November as capex surged and net tax revenue slipped

Updated On: 31 Dec 2025 | 11:36 PM IST

Expect our state's share in tax devolution to rise to 20%: UP FM Khanna

UP's finance minister Suresh Khanna says disciplined spending, revenue surpluses and rising capex have helped India's most populous state maintain fiscal stability while expanding infrastructure

Updated On: 28 Dec 2025 | 11:15 PM IST

Yearender 2025: The economy sailed through, but the waters are uncertain

Real GDP growth surprised on the upside in 2025, but weaker nominal growth, trade uncertainty, and soft demand signal a bumpier road ahead

Updated On: 27 Dec 2025 | 12:37 AM IST

States' debt burden and fiscal gaps persist, leaving capital spending muted

10 states with the highest debt to GSDP ratio have debt levels above 30% of GSDP

Updated On: 26 Dec 2025 | 11:52 AM IST

Economy may grow at 7% in FY27 despite trade tensions: CareEdge Ratings

CareEdge Ratings expects 7% growth in FY27, citing a possible US-India trade deal, low inflation and strong capex, while warning US tariffs could weigh on goods exports

Updated On: 24 Dec 2025 | 7:04 PM IST

Datanomics: Resource crunch remains major concern in Bihar's finances

Weak tax collections in October pushed Bihar's fiscal deficit to three times the FY26 budget estimate in seven months, with pre-poll spending adding pressure

Updated On: 17 Dec 2025 | 11:10 PM IST

Nominal GDP growth slowdown raises concerns despite strong real growth

Despite strong real growth, slowing nominal GDP and a sharply weaker deflator raise fiscal concerns, challenging Budget assumptions for FY26

Updated On: 04 Dec 2025 | 11:53 PM IST

Rupee hits fresh low against dollar, nears 90/$-mark amid rising pressures

Indian Rupee touched a new record low of 89.97 against the US dollar on December 1, 2025, amid delays in the India-US trade agreement, and limited RBI intervention

Updated On: 02 Dec 2025 | 12:16 PM IST

India's current account deficit narrows to $12.3 bn in July-Sept: RBI data

In the preceding quarter, the current account had recorded a deficit of $2.4 billion ot 0.2 per cent of GDP

Updated On: 01 Dec 2025 | 6:09 PM IST

Govt's fiscal deficit touches 52.6% of BE till Oct, capex increases 32%

Experts said meeting the gross tax revenue budget target of ₹42.7 trillion would be difficult as it would require a Y-o-Y expansion of 22 per cent in the November-March FY26 period.

Updated On: 28 Nov 2025 | 11:12 PM IST

India's fiscal deficit during Apr-Oct reaches 52.6% of FY26 target

Capital expenditure, or spending on building physical infrastructure, at ₹6.18 trillion against ₹4.7 trillion a year ago

Updated On: 28 Nov 2025 | 6:27 PM IST