The government is likely to aim for a fiscal deficit at 4.2 per cent of GDP for 2026-27, down from 4.4 per cent this fiscal year
India contained its FY26 fiscal deficit at 54.5% of Budget Estimates for April-December, aided by higher non-tax revenues and controlled spending despite a December capex dip
Under the revised Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act, the fiscal deficit target was below 4.5 per cent of GDP for 2025-26
Amid data and fiscal uncertainties, the govt faces the difficult task of creating conditions to boost private capex
India's economy is expected to grow 6.8-7.2% in 2026-27; exports, domestic demand and reforms support growth, while global trade tensions pose some risks
India's economy is expected to grow 6.8-7.2% in 2026-27; exports, domestic demand and reforms support growth, while global trade tensions pose some risks
SBI Research expects Budget 2026 to focus on fiscal discipline, managing rising debt, steady borrowing and higher capital spending amid global uncertainty and volatile markets
Budget 2026-27 breaks new ground, but delayed GDP rebasing and continued fiscal secrecy risk undermining its numbers within weeks
As the Union Budget nears, the focus must shift to debt, deficits, and borrowing from household savings, and how these choices affect private investment, manufacturing growth, and jobs
States' fiscal deficit crosses 3% of GDP in FY24 after 3 years; capital spending rises as liabilities remain manageable, says RBI report
The forthcoming Budget could think of maintaining public capital expenditure at 3% so that domestic resources are available for private investments
It is encouraging that the government's dependence on disinvestment receipts in managing its finances has reduced, but the instrument should not be discarded
The report suggests that growth in aggregate revenue receipts slowed to 7.2 per cent year-on-year during April-November 2025
Markets look calm, but five forces-rising debt, slowing revenues, weak savings, geopolitics and populism-signal a tougher growth phase for India
The revision in the nominal GDP growth target from 10.1 per cent to 8 per cent by the National Statistical Office recently raised concerns about the government's ability to meet the fiscal deficit tar
The Telangana government has appealed to the Centre to enhance the fiscal deficit target to at least four per cent of the GSDP from the ideal levels of around 3.5 per cent
BMI said that the fresh spending needs would not necessarily entail greater public deficits if the government could generate more revenue
Slower nominal GDP growth in FY26 may not hurt deficit math, but weak tax buoyancy and a slipping tax-to-GDP ratio signal rising stress on revenue collections
The Budget estimates for this year had assumed a nominal GDP growth of 10.1 per cent
CGA data showed the Centre's fiscal deficit rose to Rs 9.77 trillion, or 62.3 per cent of FY26 Budget estimates, in April-November as capex surged and net tax revenue slipped