First FY26 GDP advance estimates on Wednesday; growth seen at 7.4% or above
The First Advance Estimates provide the earliest projection of annual economic growth by the statistics ministry and forms the base for key FY27 Budget calculations
 "First FY26 GDP advance estimates on Wednesday; growth seen at 7.4% or above")
A number of economists expect India’s economy to expand by 7.4 per cent or more in 2025-26, as the National Statistical Office prepares to publish the first advance estimates of gross domestic product (GDP) for the ongoing financial year on Wednesday.
This will be the final GDP-related data release based on the 2011-12 base year, ahead of the rollout of a new national accounts series with a 2022-23 base next month.
The first advance estimates would offer the earliest official projection on annual growth and form the basis for key calculations in the 2026-27 Union Budget, including fiscal deficit, spending and debt ratios. These also would underpin policy assumptions on tax buoyancy, state-wise devolution, and borrowing requirements.