You are here: Home » Companies » News
Business Standard

RIL's high cash outflow on capital spending a rating constraint: Moody's

RIL, in its investor meet, said it would cut its LNG consumption, which affects gross refining margins (GRM) in a higher pricing situation

Amritha Pillay 

Reliance Industries
RIL is valued at $91 billion (Rs 6 lakh crore)

High might prove to be a constraint for Mukesh Ambani-led Ltd (RIL), agency said in its report on Monday.

“We expect further improvement in Ebitda (earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation) levels over the next 12-18 months as the company gets full benefits of its investments in and …. However, the on will continue to constrain the company’s ratings for at least another 12-18 months,” the agency said in its report.

Commenting on the segment performance, added “the margin for will improve as the petcoke gasification becomes fully operational over the next few months”.

“The benchmark Singapore margin, however, will weaken because of increasing and constrain improvements in RIL’s refining margin,” it added.

RIL, in its investor meet, said it would cut its LNG consumption, which affects gross refining margins (GRM) in a higher pricing situation.

ALSO READ: Q4 results: RIL posts record profit of Rs 94.35 bn; Jio's net at Rs 5.10 bn

Although the reported capital spend for declined 31 per cent in 2017-18, the creditors for remain high. This implies that the company will continue to have more cash outflow than its capital spending, said.

The agency expects most of the capital spending to be on its digital services businesses.

“For the quarter, reported an increase in the segment assets for its digital services of Rs 147.4 billion, a proxy for capital spending, as against its Ebitda of Rs 26.9 billion. We expect the digital services business to continue to generate negative free cash flows until at least fiscal 2019 as the company expands its network coverage and capacity further for its mobile business and also rolls outs its fiber to home and enterprise services business,” the report added.

In the last financial year, RIL improved its credit metrics while capital spending remained high. According to the Moody’s report, RIL’s debt increased to Rs 1.40 trillion as of March 31, 2018, against Rs 1.19 trillion a year ago.

However, the company’s credit metrics, as measured by net debt/Ebitda, declined to 1.9 in 2017-18 compared to 2.1 in 2016-17.

RIL

“The improvement in credit metrics is driven by higher earnings from its energy segment. Reliance’s Baa2 remains well positioned,” the report said.

Moody’s added a rating upgrade would require generating positive free cash flows consistently and other strong credit metrics.

Even as concerns on capital spending remain, others like Morgan Stanley expect capital expenditure intensity to reduce.

“This has been a key investor question, and we see some anecdotal evidence of capex intensity falling. RIL’s capex declined 33 per cent in FY18, and we expect a 40 per cent decline in FY19,” analysts with Morgan Stanley wrote in a research note.

RIL did not give any guidance on capital expenditure in the current financial year. However, the company said it would look at opportunities in the fibre-to-home

segment.

In 2017, RIL, along with its partner BP, committed an investment of Rs 400 billion in the KG-D6 block.

In its analyst meet on Friday, RIL told analysts production in R-Series would commence by 2020 for 9-11 years, in the Satellite projects by 2021-22 for six-seven years, and in MJ-1 by 2021-22 for 9-11 years.

The terms of these projects, RIL told analysts, will be similar to the existing KG-D6 ones.

The company is planning to open 1,890 outlets in two-three years, according to analyst reports. Some of these are to be looked at in partnership with BP and would be located on highways. The company has commissioned up to 1,313 auto fuel outlets up to March 2018.

First Published: Tue, May 01 2018. 01:06 IST
RECOMMENDED FOR YOU