You are here: Home » Elections » Bihar Elections » News
Business Standard

Bihar: A loss in the state today can turn attention to Modi govt's policies

Losing the state amid soaring unemployment and an economy experiencing the sharpest dive in decades will be a setback for Modi, who invested a lot of political capital in the campaign.

Topics
Bihar Elections  | Narendra Modi | Bharatiya Janata Party

Bibhudatta Pradhan | Bloomberg 

PM Narendra Modi
PM Narendra Modi

The opposition alliance in the eastern state of Bihar looks set to win a crucial election in a blow to India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi, whose party was a key partner in the ruling coalition.

The state will count votes from the three-stage election on Tuesday and most exit polls have shown citizens rejecting the ruling coalition in favor of a new opposition alliance led by a charismatic 31-year-old politician.

Bihar is India’s poorest state, but with a population larger than any nation in the European Union it sends 40 lawmakers to federal parliament, giving it outsize political importance. Losing the state amid soaring and an economy experiencing the sharpest dive in decades will be a setback for Modi, who invested a lot of political capital in the campaign.

The state is currently governed by of the party who has ruled for three straight terms. But in the face of an anti-incumbency wave Modi was the main campaigner, addressing more than a dozen rallies across the province despite pandemic restrictions. His entered an alliance with Kumar’s party after the last in 2015.

What’s at Stake for Modi in India’s First State Vote Since Covid

If confirmed, the loss is likely to turn attention to Modi’s policies -- including setting in motion the world’s strictest virus lockdown -- and embolden the opposition to question his handling of India’s pandemic. The stay-at-home order and the job losses it triggered led to an exodus of poor migrant workers, over 1.5 million from Bihar alone, from India’s big cities. With more than 8.5 million cases, India’s virus infections trail only the U.S.

The spotlight is now on Tejashwi Yadav, the youthful leader of the party and the chief ministerial candidate of the opposition alliance. A one-time cricketer and the son of a former chief minister, Yadav sought to win over younger voters with the promise of a million government jobs. Bihar’s rate has climbed to 12% -- almost double that of the national average of 6.7% -- since the lockdown.

“A loss will also put pressure on the center to concentrate more on populist policies that give a fillip to job creation,” said Ajay Bodke, chief executive officer for portfolio management services at Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. “With a massive shortfall in tax revenues and divestment proceeds due to economic slowdown as a result of Covid-19 pandemic, the government needs to expedite structural reforms hobbling medium-term growth which are bound to create backlash among sections of society.”

The BJP has been facing tougher-than-expected battles in the state polls that have followed Modi’s sweeping victory to a second term in office in May 2019. Its alliance in Maharashtra, India’s wealthiest state, fell apart soon after polls there last year. It lost power in Rajasthan and Jharkhand and had to cobble together a new coalition in the northern Haryana state.

Dear Reader,


Business Standard has always strived hard to provide up-to-date information and commentary on developments that are of interest to you and have wider political and economic implications for the country and the world. Your encouragement and constant feedback on how to improve our offering have only made our resolve and commitment to these ideals stronger. Even during these difficult times arising out of Covid-19, we continue to remain committed to keeping you informed and updated with credible news, authoritative views and incisive commentary on topical issues of relevance.
We, however, have a request.

As we battle the economic impact of the pandemic, we need your support even more, so that we can continue to offer you more quality content. Our subscription model has seen an encouraging response from many of you, who have subscribed to our online content. More subscription to our online content can only help us achieve the goals of offering you even better and more relevant content. We believe in free, fair and credible journalism. Your support through more subscriptions can help us practise the journalism to which we are committed.

Support quality journalism and subscribe to Business Standard.

Digital Editor

First Published: Tue, November 10 2020. 07:11 IST