You are here: Home » Markets » News
Business Standard
Web Exclusive

Tata Consumer Products: Why Nomura is bullish on this new Nifty entrant

Formerly, known as Tata Global Beverages, Tata Consumer is currently undergoing a transformation to become a multi-category FMCG company from a food and beverage (F&B) company

Topics
Tata Consumer Products | Nifty50 | Nifty FMCG

Saloni Goel  |  New Delhi 

Tata Consumer to replace Gail India in Nifty 50 effective March 31
Tata Consumer plans to double its direct reach to 1 million outlets over 12 months

Shares of have been in the focus of late after the stock got admitted to the flagship index on March 31 as part of the index rejig.

On a year-to-date (YTD) basis, the stock has managed to beat both the and index in terms of returns. The Tata group stock has gained 8 per cent as against Nifty's 5 per cent and 2 per cent up move in the index during this perios, ACE Equity data show. In the FCMG pack, the stock is among the select few that have offered high single-digit or double-digit returns during the same period, performing better than 70 per cent of its peers.

Formerly, known as Tata Global Beverages, Tata Consumer is currently undergoing a transformation to become a multi-category FMCG company from a food and beverage (F&B) company which analysts at believe will be a multi-year journey. The global brokerage eyes a consolidated revenue CAGR of FY21F-23 of 8 per cent and operating margin expansion of 200 basis points (bps) as it initiated a 'BUY' coverage on the stock with a target price of Rs 750 per share.

chart

Here are the three factors that make bullish on the stock:

Core business gains strong impetus

Tata Consumer plans to double its direct reach to 1 million outlets over 12 months, which believes will meaningfully drive volumes and give a strong impetus to its core tea and salt portfolio, resulting in better growth than peers. It sees India beverages and salts FY21F-23 revenue CAGR of 8.5 per cent and 10, respectively.

"We believe TCPL, with its strong positions in tea (no.1 in India by volume) and salt (65 per cent share in the branded segment) will benefit disproportionately from a shift from unorganised to branded post-pandemic," said Mihir P. Shah in a note co-authored by Abhishek Mathur.

The launch of premium value-added salts, which could aid higher margins, also provides Tata Consumer an option value on premiumisation, they added.

New expansion plans

Tata Consumer's focus on tapping the unorganised segment in the pulses and spices market via its 'Sampann' brand gives the company a significant headroom for growth, said Nomura. It forecasts an FY21F-23F revenue CAGR of 38 per cent for Sampann.

Besides, the company is foraying into higher-margin niche packaged foods’ categories as a natural progression to leverage its strong sourcing, distribution and brand. This, Nomura says, can drive organic sales at 40 per cent CAGR over FY21F-23F for its snacks, breakfast and cereals business.

International focus

Nomura expects international business revenue CAGR of 3 per cent over FY21F-23F, as it is largely in developed countries and mature categories. This would also sustain the company's margin and cash-generation trajectory, the say. While the contribution from these new launches is still low, Nomura expects it to increase gradually over the medium term.

Dear Reader,


Business Standard has always strived hard to provide up-to-date information and commentary on developments that are of interest to you and have wider political and economic implications for the country and the world. Your encouragement and constant feedback on how to improve our offering have only made our resolve and commitment to these ideals stronger. Even during these difficult times arising out of Covid-19, we continue to remain committed to keeping you informed and updated with credible news, authoritative views and incisive commentary on topical issues of relevance.
We, however, have a request.

As we battle the economic impact of the pandemic, we need your support even more, so that we can continue to offer you more quality content. Our subscription model has seen an encouraging response from many of you, who have subscribed to our online content. More subscription to our online content can only help us achieve the goals of offering you even better and more relevant content. We believe in free, fair and credible journalism. Your support through more subscriptions can help us practise the journalism to which we are committed.

Support quality journalism and subscribe to Business Standard.

Digital Editor

First Published: Thu, April 01 2021. 12:22 IST
RECOMMENDED FOR YOU
.