Nomura sees GCPL, Tata Consumer, Marico, and Britannia as the key near-term winners of the commodity downcycle.
The consumer sector, according to a Motilal Oswal note, reported the third quarter of mid-single-digit earnings growth of 5 per cent year-on-year in Q2-FY26
Strong top-line growth, resilient volumes, and sustained execution strength kept analysts confident about the company's medium-term outlook, with most brokerages maintaining a 'Buy' or 'Add' rating.
Tata Consumer Outook: Analysts believe the consumer goods major is reclaiming its high-growth momentum under CEO Sunil D'Souza, backed by strong execution, premiumisation, and sustained innovation.
Dabur Q2 results: Dabur reported a 5.4 per cent year-on-year (Y-o-Y) rise in consolidated sales, led by 4.3 per cent growth in the domestic business, while India volume growth stood at 2 per cent.
Brokerages were unanimous that the non-cigarette FMCG business remains a bright spot in ITC's portfolio.
Analysts largely agree that the toothpaste major's volumes and revenue were hit by a 'double whammy' of GST rate cuts and intensifying competition, with limited signs of a near-term recovery.
FMCG Stock Today: Technical charts show that Hindustan Unilever and Nestle India seem to be favourably placed; while Colgate Palmolive stock can decline up to 7% from here.
With Diwali just around the corner, the FMCG sector is seeing strong sales across categories, with edible oils, dairy, and snacks driving festive demand
According to the market researcher, rising commodity prices have led to a growing valley between volume and value growth
Marico's India volumes are projected to grow 7 per cent Y-o-Y, while domestic pricing gains are estimated at 26 per cent.
Nuvama maintained a 'Buy' rating, underpinned by expectations of a revival in consumption and strategic focus on core categories.
Heavy rains in Q2FY26 adversely affected seasonal categories such as carbonated drinks, ready-to-drink juices, beer, ice creams, and hair/skin summer care products.
Technical charts show that FMCG shares - ITC, HUL, Nestle India, Colgate-Palmolive and Marico were trading near key support levels; a downside breakout can trigger a fall up to 13% from here.
The govt could allow discounts to be reflected in the invoice during the transition
Mother Dairy, Hindustan Unilever and others announced price cuts across dairy, foods, ice creams, soaps and shampoos, as GST benefits are passed on to consumers from September 22
Motilal Oswal continues to favour leading staples companies, including HUL, GCPL and Marico, as beneficiaries of renewed consumption momentum.
The GST Council has moved several FMCG items to the 5% slab and exempted breads, paneer and milk, a move expected to lower prices, spur consumption and aid festive demand
With inflation easing, borrowing costs falling, and recent income tax relief bolstering household savings, a clearer turnaround is expected in the second half of the fiscal year
While FMCG companies say that demand remains steady for urban, Colgate Palmolive India said in its earnings release that urban demand remained subdued in April-June.