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Moody's downgrade of India's sovereign debt had been on cards for months

In comparative terms, India has been a laggard among Emerging Markets in 2020. The downgrade just makes the task of its economic recovery a little more daunting

Moody’s downgrade of India’s sovereign debt had been on cards for months
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Moody's expects the economy to contract by 4.0 per cent in fiscal 2020 due to the pandemic and lockdown. This will be followed by a bounce-back to 8.7 per cent GDP growth in 2021-22 and closer to 6.0 per cent thereafter.

Devangshu Datta
The decision of Moody’s to downgrade India’s sovereign debt, both in rupee and forex — from Baa2 to Baa3, the lowest investment grade status — had been on the cards for months, despite hectic behind-the-scenes lobbying by officials to avoid a downgrade. In that sense, it is hardly a shock. Moody's has also downgraded India's local-currency senior unsecured rating from Baa2 to Baa3, and its short-term local currency rating from P-2 to P-3.

The outlook on India's rating would improve to stable if policy actions raise confidence that growth will rise to sustainably higher rates than Moody's projects. However, rising
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