Gdp Growth

Moody's sees India's GDP growing 6.4% in FY27, fastest among G20 nations

Moody's Ratings on Monday projected India's GDP to grow at 6.4 per cent in the next fiscal, the fastest pace among G-20 economies, driven by strong domestic consumption, policy measures, and a stable banking system. In its banking system outlook report, Moody's said their asset quality will remain resilient, with some stress among micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs). Regardless, banks have sufficient reserves to absorb loan losses, it said. The operating environment for banks will remain strong in 2026, supported by robust macroeconomic conditions and structural reforms, it said. "We forecast India's real GDP will grow 6.4 per cent for fiscal 2026-27, the fastest pace among G-20 economies, driven by strong domestic consumption and policy measures. "The rationalization of the goods and services tax (GST) in September 2025 and an earlier increase in personal income tax thresholds will help improve affordability for consumers and support consumption-led growth," Moody's said.

Stable environment: Base-year revisions may not have immediate implications

The RBI's MPC held rates steady, citing improved growth and benign inflation, while announcing regulatory steps to boost credit flow and strengthen digital payment safety

RBI walks the line between growth confidence and inflation risk

Inflation risks may prove to be broader than what that explanation implies

Trade deal sweetens FY27 growth arithmetic as exports lift outlook

Economists say the India-US trade deal could lift FY27 GDP growth by 20-40 basis points by boosting exports and reducing uncertainty, though risks from imports remain

Budget 2026-27: A blueprint for institutional maturity in India's growth

For the private sector, the real story lies in the de-risking of the Indian investment landscape

Budget 2026: The twin arcs of progress shaping India's growth path

The proposals announced on Sunday imply a dual approach: A strategic arc that will continue to pave the path for faster potential growth, and a tactical arc of facilitations and reliefs

Union Budget 2026-27: Strengthening India's long-term growth engines

From a capital markets perspective, the Budget's proposals to deepen the corporate bond market clearly stand out

Budget 2026: Debt-to-GDP ratio to ease by 50 bps to 55.6% in FY27

Experts say announcements focus on sustenance of growth, resilience

A long-game Budget: FM pushes capability-building for growth resilience

FM Sitharaman tightens fiscal deficit target at 4.3% of GDP

Business as usual: Budget 2026 banks on stability, not structural change

Fiscal deficit targets stay on track and projections look realistic, but the Budget avoids big reforms on Customs tariffs and tax structure, offering mainly incremental changes

Budget 2026: Strengthening the architecture of India's next growth phase

India must also remain deeply integrated with global markets, exporting more and attracting stable long-term investment

Recent consumption measures may boost demand, lift GDP growth: Poonam Gupta

Challenge lies in identifying new sources of growth to sustain an accelerated trajectory, says Poonam Gupta

Economic Survey 2025-26 gives clear direction towards Viksit Bharat

Economic Survey 2025-26 underscores India's macro stability, reform-led growth, and fiscal discipline, while warning that weak state finances pose emerging risks

Datanomics: How reality dodges Economic Surveys and Union Budgets

Economic Survey projections and Budget assumptions on GDP growth have often missed the mark, with actual growth diverging from estimates in several years

India's exports dream likely to run into the hard wall of realities

Tripling India's exports by 2035 needs tiger-like performance, open markets and ruthless reform-conditions history suggests India does not yet have

India's new quarterly GDP estimates to include GST, e-Vahan data

India's revamped quarterly GDP series will use GST, e-Vahan and gas consumption data, adopting IMF-recommended methods to improve accuracy and reduce volatility

Neutral policy, predictable rules needed for investment-led growth

Fiscal restraint and policy stability are key for a pivot from consumption to investment led growth

AI-led growth looks strong, but concentration risks are hard to ignore

The IMF has reaffirmed India's position as the fastest-growing major economy, with its 2025-26 forecast revised to 7.3 per cent

Can the Union Budget 2026-27 unveil a low debt-deficit path to growth?

The forthcoming Budget could think of maintaining public capital expenditure at 3% so that domestic resources are available for private investments

Why Assam's rapid growth is more than a low-base effect

An RBI report places Assam as India's fastest-growing state over five years, driven by fiscal discipline, infrastructure spending and administrative reform rather than a low-base rebound