Gdp Growth

Hawkish hike, but measured path ahead

Depending on growth-inflation dynamics, the repo rate could rise to 6-6.25 per cent next year

World Bank lifts India FY27 growth view to 7.1% on robust domestic demand

World Bank raises India's FY27 growth forecast to 7.1 per cent from 6.6 per cent but flags risks from high oil prices, El Niño and capital flow volatility

Nifty earnings lag GDP growth and weighing on equities, shows data

India's key equity indices ended lower in September, declining despite a GDP growth rate of 7.8 per cent at the end of August, as rising US Treasury yields and oil prices weighed on investor sentiment

Foreign capital shuns India despite strong growth: S&P-Crisil report

Net foreign portfolio inflows fell 16.6 per cent in FY26, while net FDI stood at $7.8 billion against gross inflows of $94.5 billion amid repatriation and outward investment.

Finance Ministry sees Q2 FY27 growth at 7.3%, flags geopolitical risks

India must work on ensuring that the economy is more competition-friendly rather than business-friendly, says the report

Focus on the journey ahead

India's growth numbers are impressive, but the past week offered a fair dose of reality on what it will take to sustain that growth

India's new trade pacts to provide access to $60 trillion GDP: Piyush Goyal

Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal said nine trade agreements, including the nearly concluded US pact, will expand India's preferential access to global markets

OECD raises India's GDP growth forecast to 7.1% citing resilient demand

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) on Wednesday raised India's GDP growth projection for current fiscal by 80 basis points to 7.1 per cent citing resilient domestic demand and government policies that cushioned households and firms from the impact of higher energy prices. In June, the Paris-based inter-governmental body had projected the Indian economy to grow at 6.3 per cent in 2026-27. OECD said structural policy reforms that enhance the ability of economies to cope with supply side disruptions are also a key priority for governments at the current juncture. With regard to India, OECD in its Interim Economic Outlook said growth in several G20 emerging market economies, such as India, was underpinned by resilient domestic demand and government policies that cushioned households and firms from the impact of higher energy prices. "Despite recent strong momentum, reduced purchasing power is also expected to weaken growth in India through the second half

ADB raises India's FY27 GDP growth forecast to 7% on strong Q1 growth

The Asian Development Bank (ADB) on Wednesday raised its forecast for India's economic growth in the current fiscal to 7 per cent, up from 6.6 per cent projected in July, citing stronger-than-expected economic performance in the first quarter despite supply-side disruptions caused by West Asia crisis. In its Asian Development Outlook (ADO) September 2026, the multilateral lender said, "The revision reflects India's stronger-than-expected economic performance, with GDP expanding by 7.8 per cent year-on-year in the first quarter of FY2026 (2026-27), supported by robust investment demand, resilient consumption, and solid growth in manufacturing and service sectors." The economy has also benefited from lower-than-expected supply disruptions, sustained capital inflows, and limited pass-through of higher input cost to consumer prices, which helped cushion the impact of the conflict in the Middle East, the report said. The ADB's latest projection marks an upward revision of 0.4 percentage

S&P raises India FY27 GDP growth forecast to 7%, sees 25 bps RBI rate hike

S&P Global Ratings on Wednesday raised India's GDP growth projections for the current fiscal to 7 per cent, citing robust economic activity and forecasting that the RBI could hike interest rates by 25 basis points in FY27. In its Economic Activity for Asia Pacific report, S&P estimates consumer inflation to average 5.1 per cent in FY27. The Indian economy grew higher than expected at 7.8 per cent in the June quarter. S&P said factors like robust industrial activity, healthy consumption, strong goods exports, and accelerating government investment have driven the growth. "We have consequently upgraded our GDP growth forecast for the current fiscal year, ending March 31, 2027, to 7 per cent, from 6.6 per cent previously," S&P said, adding growth could ease in the second half of the fiscal year as the tailwinds from General Sales Tax rationalisation and income tax cuts diminish. Weather-related risks warrant close monitoring. Cumulative rainfall was 15 per cent below ...

India growth may slow in H2 FY27 as inflation, liquidity pose risks: DBS

India's economy is likely to lose some momentum in the second half of fiscal 2026-27 as tighter financial conditions, elevated energy prices and unfavourable base effects weigh on activity, while broadening inflation pressures could keep monetary policy focused on price stability, DBS Bank economist Radhika Rao said. India started FY27 (April 2026 to March 2027 fiscal year) on a strong footing, with the economy growing 7.8 per cent year-on-year in the first quarter, supported by resilient domestic demand, consumption, public capital expenditure and manufacturing, Rao, Senior Economist and Executive Director at DBS Bank, said in an assessment of the macroeconomic outlook. DBS expects full-year FY27 growth to average 7.3 per cent, compared with a revised 7.8 per cent for FY26, she said. High-frequency indicators including goods and services tax collections, e-way bills, electricity demand and digital payments have remained resilient, suggesting domestic activity continues to hold up,

Moody's raises India FY27 growth forecast to 7%, flags inflation risks

Moody's cites stronger-than-expected economic activity and resilience to the West Asia conflict, but warns elevated energy prices could push inflation above its forecast

Over 11% PPI factory input inflation could have aided fall in deflators

The break-up of these calculations is complicated since many manufactured products are inputs for other manufactured products

Bank of Baroda raises FY27 growth forecast, flags monsoon and oil risks

Bank of Baroda raised its FY27 growth forecast to 7-7.2 per cent after robust Q1 growth, but flagged upside risks to inflation and the fiscal deficit from monsoon and oil

The GDP combat sport

The dispute concerns methodology, base years, deflators, and the various adjustments required to convert the bewildering activity of 1.4 billion people into a single number

Trust deficit in GDP data is a political issue: Rajeeva Karandikar

Former NSC chief Rajeeva Karandikar defends India's new GDP series, calling for greater transparency while rejecting claims of data manipulation

PM says India's 7.8% GDP growth reflects economic strength, slams critics

Speaking at the centenary celebrations of SRCC in Delhi, PM Modi said the growth figure had boosted confidence in the economy despite the war in West Asia and global trade challenges

The GDP number puzzle

It may take a while to develop a gut feel for the methodology, but looking beyond GDP to the Li Keqiang approach may offer some answers

World Bank's Mishra pushes back on doubts over strength of India's growth

World Bank Executive Director Neelkanth Mishra said high-frequency indicators such as vehicle sales, cement volumes and credit demand point to strong economic momentum despite doubts over GDP data

India's data centre boom may add just 0.13% to GDP by 2030: Moody's

Despite billions of dollars in announced data centre investments, India's GDP gains may remain limited by 2030 as high import dependence curbs domestic value addition and job creation