Asia-Pacific economies, like India, Vietnam, Indonesia and the Philippines, are seeing a surge in prices, with households remaining highly vulnerable to further weather-related supply shocks, including those triggered by the El Nino, S&P Global Ratings has said. S&P said the effects of the El Nino period starting in 2026 will reach Asia-Pacific mainly through weaker rainfall and climate disruption, and the macroeconomic impact is likely to be manageable. Key transmission channels include reduced agricultural output, higher food inflation, diminished hydropower generation, and vegetation fires and haze. S&P said many economies have expanded food buffer stocks, improved import planning and strengthened market management mechanisms to cushion supply disruptions. At the same time, investments in reservoir management, irrigation infrastructure and water governance have strengthened resilience to periods of reduced rainfall. "In India, strong food and grain buffers for affected .
India's insurance sector is poised for 'massive' long-term growth, supported by structural reforms, low insurance penetration, and a favourable regulatory environment, but macroeconomic headwinds and profitability pressures remain key risks, S&P Global Ratings said on Thursday. In a report titled 'India Insurance Sector Trends', S&P said favourable regulatory reforms are attracting foreign capital and accelerating M&A activity in the sector. "Accelerated industry reforms and low penetration levels to drive massive sector growth in India. Liberalization, competition and regulatory changes will shape the insurance sector's development," the report said. The government had earlier this year approved 100 per cent foreign direct investment (FDI) in the insurance sector under the automatic route. S&P said both life and non-life insurance sectors have growth potential, but profitability of non-life insurers could continue to be strained as pricing philosophies lean heavily on
Tata Capital has raised $400 million through a 3.5-year overseas bond, with robust investor demand helping tighten pricing by 33 basis points from initial guidance
S&P Global Ratings was the first major credit grader to strip the US of its AAA rating in 2011 and was harshly criticized by the US Treasury at the time
S&P Global Ratings on Wednesday said energy stress, sub-par monsoon and slowing global growth will pull down India's GDP growth to 6.6 per cent in the current fiscal. The Indian economy recorded 7.7 per cent growth in the 2025-26 fiscal and 7.1 per cent in 2024-25. "We project real GDP growth will slow to 6.6 per cent in the fiscal year ending in March 2027, compared with 7.7 per cent in fiscal 2026, amid the energy stress, expectations of a sub-par monsoon, and slowing global growth," S&P said in its report. S&P's FY27 growth projection is in line with the RBI estimate of 6.6 per cent. The impact of El Nino has weakened monsoon rains, with the rainfall deficit widening to 43 per cent by June 22. To deal with deficient monsoon, the government has drawn up state-wise contingency plans recommending alternative crops suited to deficient rainfall conditions. India imports 88 per cent of its crude oil needs, and a rise in global prices increases its import bill and stokes ...
The West Asia crisis has exposed India's import-linked energy security risks, making diversified crude routes and deeper storage buffers more urgent, S&P said
S&P Global Market Intelligence expects asset quality at major lenders to improve further, even as margins remain under pressure from changing interest-rate dynamics
The decision comes as Space Exploration Technologies Corp., as it's formally known, prepares to start trading June 12
S&P said Indian Oil may receive extraordinary support from the Indian government if the company comes under financial stress
S&P Global Ratings on Friday said state-owned Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) faces rising pressure to balance fuel affordability with profitability as prolonged tensions in West Asia increase crude oil prices and squeeze marketing margins. The ratings agency said disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and elevated crude prices could widen the gap between domestic retail fuel prices and raw material costs, potentially hurting the company's earnings, cash flow and liquidity position over the next 12 months. India, the world's third-largest oil importer, relies heavily on imported crude to meet domestic fuel demand, with diesel accounting for nearly 39 per cent of total petroleum consumption. "IOC faces a conundrum. Its earnings and cash flow over the next 12 months are turning increasingly uncertain as the Middle East conflict becomes protracted. IOC has to balance its role of meeting the country's energy needs while absorbing losses due to high crude oil prices," it said. "Given the ...
Union Minister for Petroleum and Natural Gas Hardeep Singh Puri on Monday met Dave Ernsberger, President of S & P Global, and discussed global energy trends, supply resilience, and India's ongoing transition towards sustainable energy sources.In a post on X, Puri said, "Had a productive meeting with Dave Ernsberger, President, S & P Global. Our discussions centered on the demand supply situation in global energy markets and ways to build resilient energy supply chains. India is moving aggressively on Green Hydrogen, biofuel blending, and a range of alternative fuels, while simultaneously accelerating domestic exploration and production efforts."He added that these initiatives are aimed at building "a resilient, sustainable, and future-ready energy ecosystem for the nation," highlighting India's dual approach of strengthening conventional energy production while expanding clean energy alternatives.Earlier, Pushkar Singh Dhami met Puri at Kartavya Bhavan in New Delhi and raised .
India's robust macroeconomic and financial sector fundamentals are likely to cushion the impact of a sustained oil price shock, though economic growth could slow by up to 80 basis points if crude averages USD 130 per barrel in 2026, according to S&P Global Ratings. Under its stress scenario, corporate earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) could decline 15-25 per cent in FY27, with leverage rising by 0.5x-1x, while banking sector asset quality may weaken, pushing bad loans to around 3.5 per cent. "India isn't immune to the shocks reverberating from the Middle East war. The pain of higher energy prices and supply disruptions may persist for months, crimping economic activity across households, corporations, and banks," S&P Global Ratings said in a report. However, strong corporate balance sheets, well-capitalised banks and a resilient external position provide buffers against the impact. S&P Global Ratings assumes Brent crude at USD 130 per ..
A supply disruption even at the mid-range of volumes at risk-7 to 8 million b/d of crude and products-would be higher than the volume that was initially at risk when Russia invaded Ukraine
Our analysis over past two decades suggests Nifty sustains higher valuations only during periods of strong earnings growth/upgrades, which is unlikely next year, Shah said.
System has strengthened credit discipline and tilted resolution process in favor of creditors, says agency
S&P Global Ratings has upgraded its rating outlook on Vedanta Resources to 'positive' from 'stable'. In a statement, the rating agency said it has also affirmed the issue rating of 'B' on the Vedanta Resources' senior unsecured notes. S&P has cited factors like a timely ramp-up of Vedanta Resources' recently commissioned facilities in the aluminium business, which will improve the company's cost structure and support its earnings and cash flow. It has also noted the lower interest expenses at the holding company level, that will aid in deleveraging the balance sheet. "The positive rating outlook reflects the potential for an upgrade if Vedanta Resources continues its track record of reducing debt at the holding company and operating at a lower consolidated leverage, even as it pursues growth opportunities. "This could materialise as the company improves its cost structure from deeper backward integration. In our base case, we see a path for the company's FFO-to-debt (funds ...
The report added that low inflation provides room for further monetary policy adjustments, with S&P expecting a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India in FY26
Flash PMI September 2025: Pricing pressures were more pronounced in the service sector in September, although they moderated compared with previous months, while manufacturing saw a pick-up
The RBI has floated a discussion paper, seeking views on whether the 4% target should continue, if headline or core inflation should be tracked, and whether the current ±2% band should be tweaked.
S&P Global Ratings analysts say that the GST rationalisation reforms could boost India's fiscal revenues over the long term due to simpler implementation and clearer accounting processes