Valuations are on the higher side currently after the run up over the past year and a half. Also, inflation has proved to be more persistent than was earlier estimated. It could affect corporate earnings by raising input costs. Central banks will begin to withdraw liquidity (the US Federal Reserve will start in November) and later raise interest rates, thus reversing the conditions that sparked the bull run. The Indian market has been volatile in the past couple of weeks, with foreign institutional investors turning net sellers in October to the tune of Rs 11,557.3 crore.
Direct investors: Make a small start
New investors who have decided to invest directly in stocks should try to educate themselves first. “It takes at a least couple of years for an investor to understand the market’s nuances,” says Vivek Bajaj, co-founder, StockEdge & Elearnmarkets. Invest small amounts initially. Increase your allocation after you have gained in knowledge and experience.
Instead of depending on social media, make use of free tools like valuepickr.com and screener.in to understand business models and financial performance of companies and their peers.
At the outset, decide whether you want to be a trader or an investor. “Understand your goals and mindset—whether you want to create long-term wealth or focus on daily income. Don’t mix the two styles,” says Jatin Khemani, founder and chief executive officer, Stalwart Investment Advisors, a Sebi-registered independent equity research firm. Novices should also not take leveraged bets in the futures and options segment.
New investors will be safer sticking to large-cap, debt-free companies, whose promoters have not pledged a high portion of their holdings. “Accumulate steady outperformers through SIP-type investments,” says Mayank Kaushik, lead-digital marketing, Trustline Securities. He suggests avoiding high exposure to small- and micro-cap stocks, and also those with stretched valuations.
Direct equity investors should pay heed not just to stock picking but to portfolio construction as well. “Don’t have more than 20-25 stocks in your portfolio. You will find it difficult to track a higher number of stocks,” says Khemani. If you wish to add more, the incoming stock must earn its place in the portfolio by replacing an existing holding.
Pay heed to your allocation to individual stocks. “You could allocate 3 per cent to low-conviction ideas and up to 10 per cent in high-conviction ideas. The exact figure should depend on the investor’s risk appetite,” adds Khemani.
After investing, monitor your holdings. Track quarterly results and read annual reports to judge whether the management is delivering on its guidance and performing in-line with, or better than, peers.
Have a longer holding period. A recent
Business Standard analysis showed that an investor’s chances of picking a 10-bagger stock increase the most if he has a holding period of 10 years.
MF investors: Avoid equity-only portfolios
Mistakes to avoid in your early days